@arbiteur
#136,606400xca6eba7899ee3bd495a2f995777de529d20aaf60
~102d· 295 markets · 1864 tradesVol: $122,4032026-08-04 16:19:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
93% (265/285)20/20
0.56x (win $5,631 / loss $10,028)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3750/15
Sortino -1.3960/10
$-0.0488 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 141 (285 markets)10/10
71/80 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 334% of peak ($7,513 / $2,248)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+344
DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Whale
$90,058 invested
Consistent
71/80 profitable days
Win Streak
36 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,723,969$-164Vol: $40,943
🏛️ POLITICS#24,521$600Vol: $30,732
₿ CRYPTO#47,618$401Vol: $20,330
💰 FINANCE#20,494$81Vol: $13,466
🎭 CULTURE#26,275$67Vol: $6,999
📢 MENTIONS#174,241$-695Vol: $6,969
🌤️ WEATHER#71,808$0Vol: $2,000
💻 TECH#8,287$54Vol: $963
Overview
#1Net PnL
$344
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$122,403
Total Redeem
$839
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
295
total markets
Trades
1614B / 250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$344
Vol: $122,403
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
93%
265W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$344
Win Rate
93%
265W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-590
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,073 (3.114627489692817% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$475
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$327
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$271
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$256
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$247
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$185
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$182
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$176
Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$172
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$148
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-5,883
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-3,336
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$-370
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$-91
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$-83
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?$-80
Will Cape Verde go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-48
Will Richard Ríos be in Colombia's Starting 11?$-47
Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-35
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
22.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 942s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)95.8%
Sessions
#125/17/2026, 8:45:59 PM28 trades$2,76816 min
5/18/2026, 8:22:50 PM38 trades$1,90331 min
6/25/2026, 8:07:17 PM5 trades$1,6854 min
5/15/2026, 1:13:11 AM2 trades$1,5970 min
6/25/2026, 9:06:17 PM29 trades$9441 min
6/27/2026, 7:37:16 PM4 trades$9181 min
6/25/2026, 9:44:35 PM27 trades$90610 min
6/11/2026, 6:40:19 PM13 trades$89720 min
6/28/2026, 9:02:40 AM18 trades$84811 min
5/8/2026, 8:00:04 PM2 trades$7743 min
5/3/2026, 9:17:52 PM3 trades$7330 min
4/28/2026, 12:59:00 PM7 trades$6887 min
5/9/2026, 11:29:59 AM2 trades$6873 min
5/18/2026, 8:02:41 PM10 trades$6168 min
3/8/2026, 6:11:23 PM2 trades$6003 min
5/9/2026, 12:49:46 PM1 trades$5780 min
5/9/2026, 8:59:35 PM1 trades$5760 min
5/28/2026, 12:51:01 PM4 trades$5616 min
4/13/2026, 9:25:59 PM11 trades$5559 min
6/19/2026, 8:42:20 PM15 trades$53813 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-24
05-11
05-28
06-13
06-26
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2 / M2.2 / H95.8