@100U-LP-Challenge
#2,616,07500xca763149c34661e350a62fcaed6d77f9e28a2e0c
~7d· 11 markets · 129 tradesVol: $39,2792026-08-04 18:56:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
12% (1/8)0/20
0.60x (win $288 / loss $479)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2517 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3694 (8 markets)0/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($294 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,495,089$-73Vol: $32,774
💰 FINANCE#574,343$-10Vol: $2,719
🌤️ WEATHER#270,295$-34Vol: $1,845
💻 TECH#232,399$-15Vol: $1,101
⚽ SPORTS#311,382$7Vol: $840
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-125
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,279
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
95B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d
Periods
#2Month
$58
Vol: $5,000
All Time
$-125
Vol: $39,279
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
13%
1W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-125
Win Rate
13%
1W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$288
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $288 (2.2972131278447656% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$288
Top Losers
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-231
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-128
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-56
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-34
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?$-28
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.276
Sortino
-0.368
HHI
1089
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.367
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.5%
Top-5 markets
61.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 409s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)51.6%
Mid (20-55c)6.3%
High (>55c)42.1%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 2:49:55 PM3 trades$4000 min
6/21/2026, 2:02:37 PM5 trades$2378 min
6/21/2026, 3:07:23 PM3 trades$1990 min
7/11/2026, 10:09:25 PM7 trades$1120 min
6/25/2026, 1:15:05 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/23/2026, 12:59:04 PM4 trades$750 min
7/8/2026, 3:07:53 PM4 trades$706 min
6/23/2026, 5:24:43 PM4 trades$421 min
6/21/2026, 4:12:41 PM2 trades$402 min
6/23/2026, 9:02:58 AM6 trades$361 min
6/23/2026, 12:53:53 PM2 trades$340 min
7/8/2026, 8:18:40 AM1 trades$300 min
6/24/2026, 5:55:11 AM7 trades$284 min
7/8/2026, 3:33:25 PM2 trades$270 min
7/11/2026, 4:50:17 AM2 trades$260 min
7/8/2026, 4:01:38 AM6 trades$260 min
6/23/2026, 2:19:35 PM2 trades$253 min
6/22/2026, 8:08:11 AM6 trades$241 min
6/24/2026, 8:00:02 AM7 trades$222 min
6/23/2026, 9:13:41 AM2 trades$220 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-22
06-23
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.6 / M6.3 / H42.1