@tonton69

#2,745,5800

0xca903676c5f5561885a38a75109ba10d05a8813a

~21d· 43 markets · 157 tradesVol: $10,0752026-08-04 21:51:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (9/38)0/20
0.21x (win $122 / loss $573)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7830/15
Sortino -8.0930/10
$-0.7141 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4341 (38 markets)0/10
2/13 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($452 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#643,697$-232Vol: $6,889
💻 TECH#14,049$17Vol: $2,193
🏛️ POLITICS#1,411,219$-28Vol: $987
₿ CRYPTO#859,555$-1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,075
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
76B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-19
Vol: $0
All Time
$-244
Vol: $10,075

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
8W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-244
Win Rate
21%
8W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $83 (0.3407747866053841% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$31
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$27
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$12
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$8
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-279
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-45
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$-32
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$-20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-20
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$-16
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?$-16
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-14
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.442
Sortino
-0.435
HHI
2171
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.642
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.4%
Top-5 markets
73.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.3m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.61
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.1%
Mid (20-55c)27.6%
High (>55c)1.3%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 6:37:36 PM33 trades$5936 min
5/3/2026, 6:13:58 PM15 trades$4170 min
7/10/2026, 12:29:25 AM9 trades$3880 min
6/10/2026, 2:38:07 PM29 trades$3291 min
3/1/2026, 1:40:33 PM3 trades$1201 min
6/13/2026, 9:09:31 AM6 trades$930 min
1/14/2026, 9:44:34 AM12 trades$7814 min
2/18/2026, 9:16:38 PM9 trades$477 min
5/21/2026, 8:12:13 PM4 trades$430 min
1/29/2026, 9:06:14 PM5 trades$437 min
1/27/2026, 9:32:55 PM1 trades$400 min
3/7/2026, 7:21:51 PM1 trades$300 min
4/23/2026, 2:26:20 PM7 trades$302 min
1/14/2026, 10:40:08 AM2 trades$200 min
2/19/2026, 3:33:06 PM2 trades$200 min
2/19/2026, 3:48:42 PM1 trades$200 min
9/30/2025, 8:51:01 PM5 trades$183 min
11/18/2025, 10:14:13 AM2 trades$160 min
2/28/2026, 10:02:29 AM2 trades$150 min
8/18/2025, 8:11:48 AM1 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-20
11-18
01-29
02-18
02-28
04-23
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.61/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.1 / M27.6 / H1.3