shifuThegreat

@shifuThegreat

#3,032,72113

0xcab9409834c3c9d5297f329d96356b2fe18299d0

~82d· 250 markets · 676 tradesVol: $180,8912026-08-06 07:36:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (89/249)2.9/20
0.60x (win $5,315 / loss $8,853)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5750/15
Sortino -3.9150/10
$-0.1451 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 317 (249 markets)10/10
19/74 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 438% of peak ($4,647 / $1,060)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,649,807$-2,004Vol: $80,252
🎭 CULTURE#809,406$-762Vol: $38,316
🏛️ POLITICS#1,564,197$-204Vol: $29,267
🌤️ WEATHER#290,128$-172Vol: $12,566
💰 FINANCE#609,587$-33Vol: $11,959
📢 MENTIONS#170,244$-235Vol: $3,384
📈 ECONOMICS#667,991$-183Vol: $2,463
💻 TECH#178,010$-1Vol: $693
⚽ SPORTS#160,201$54Vol: $522

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,532
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$180,891
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
250
total markets
Trades
437B / 239S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $558
Month
$-3
Vol: $558
All Time
$-3,532
Vol: $180,891

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
89W / 160L events
Realized PnL
$-3,532
Win Rate
36%
89W / 160L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,566 (0.7265447358212208% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$1,518
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3AM ET$566
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 28 at 5PM ET?$482
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?$259
Will the price of Solana be above $206 on August 30 at 4AM ET?$203
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET$193
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?$185
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 4 at 5PM ET?$157
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?$149
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?$127

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?$-1,679
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12PM ET$-997
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET$-890
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 31 at 5PM ET?$-806
Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?$-668
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?$-457
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on September 1 at 4AM ET?$-301
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?$-278
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 27-November 2?$-192
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$-171

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.186
Sortino
-0.190
HHI
280
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.145
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
29.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 630s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.9%
High (>55c)30.2%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2025, 4:02:30 PM1 trades$3,2180 min
8/5/2025, 10:09:12 AM4 trades$2,0037 min
8/5/2025, 10:58:42 AM5 trades$1,5974 min
9/29/2025, 9:23:57 AM3 trades$1,4161 min
8/5/2025, 10:51:56 AM2 trades$1,0531 min
7/31/2025, 2:31:14 PM5 trades$1,0008 min
7/31/2025, 9:07:48 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
7/28/2025, 9:07:17 PM1 trades$9810 min
8/31/2025, 1:48:54 PM3 trades$8231 min
8/5/2025, 10:46:18 AM1 trades$7850 min
8/5/2025, 8:51:10 AM2 trades$6001 min
8/2/2025, 8:29:16 PM1 trades$5980 min
7/31/2025, 9:15:46 PM1 trades$5460 min
10/31/2025, 1:08:59 PM4 trades$5097 min
8/5/2025, 9:41:14 AM1 trades$5090 min
7/31/2025, 5:16:22 PM2 trades$5063 min
7/31/2025, 3:00:50 PM1 trades$5000 min
11/26/2025, 10:43:55 AM4 trades$4394 min
7/28/2025, 4:17:41 PM3 trades$4365 min
8/5/2025, 9:07:40 AM2 trades$4304 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-28
09-01
10-25
11-10
12-01
01-12
02-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 156 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.9 / M30.9 / H30.2