SemperIdem

@SemperIdem

#2,922,38438

0xcac081350d667201be08c26e687d7412ae52a0b8

~176d· 7777 markets · 33630 tradesVol: $543,6052026-08-04 21:48:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (6326/7775)20/20
0.93x (win $11,004 / loss $11,839)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1500/15
Sortino -1.3390/10
$-0.0034 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 13 (7775 markets)10/10
96/174 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 360% of peak ($1,478 / $410)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Whale
$249,090 invested
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,629,195$-1,283Vol: $445,348
🌤️ WEATHER#3,349$355Vol: $59,527
🎭 CULTURE#708,225$-15Vol: $26,876
SPORTS#1,638,930$-71Vol: $10,456
🏛️ POLITICS#85,495$56Vol: $1,248
💰 FINANCE#579,985$-12Vol: $110
💻 TECH#221,343$-7Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-976
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$543,605
Total Redeem
$1,739
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7777
total markets
Trades
25213B / 8417S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~176d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $70
Week
$-21
Vol: $1,801
Month
$-14
Vol: $1,997
All Time
$-976
Vol: $543,605

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
6326W / 1449L events
Realized PnL
$-976
Win Rate
81%
6326W / 1449L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $289 (0.2955928452885857% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$103
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$69
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$66
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$55
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$48
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$45
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$41

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-677
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-350
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-344
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-258
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$-255
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$-188
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-184
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$-173
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-154
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-136

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.060
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
119.3
Very active
Markets / Day
27.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.3m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 3.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock119 trades/day — automation28 markets/day — mass coverage71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.32
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)58.3%

Sessions

#12
1/31/2026, 7:39:20 AM24 trades$3,1663 min
1/29/2026, 2:57:04 PM30 trades$2,2171 min
1/31/2026, 3:57:04 PM13 trades$2,1853 min
1/30/2026, 6:55:34 PM25 trades$2,1233 min
1/30/2026, 3:24:38 PM12 trades$2,0435 min
2/2/2026, 7:28:22 AM39 trades$2,0202 min
1/30/2026, 10:56:40 AM33 trades$2,0073 min
1/30/2026, 3:57:46 PM2 trades$2,0051 min
1/30/2026, 3:10:42 PM11 trades$1,9681 min
1/28/2026, 11:51:33 AM27 trades$1,9478 min
1/26/2026, 3:41:05 PM6 trades$1,9311 min
1/22/2026, 6:24:00 AM35 trades$1,8026 min
5/8/2026, 6:54:36 AM37 trades$1,75511 min
1/30/2026, 3:40:36 PM13 trades$1,7132 min
1/29/2026, 4:10:48 PM48 trades$1,6244 min
1/27/2026, 8:26:21 PM8 trades$1,6202 min
1/25/2026, 6:55:16 PM35 trades$1,6008 min
1/25/2026, 4:56:06 PM23 trades$1,5864 min
1/26/2026, 12:43:23 PM21 trades$1,5542 min
1/22/2026, 1:41:18 PM17 trades$1,5522 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
12-06
01-09
02-12
03-18
05-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 94 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.3 / M26.4 / H58.3