@0xCadC4b…3782

#2,777,3848

0xcadc4b3b795ccb7029e2c6966b1e336d30bb4285

~97d· 233 markets · 690 tradesVol: $164,9422026-08-04 19:00:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (73/233)0.7/20
0.77x (win $2,954 / loss $3,860)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9260/15
Sortino -2.6920/10
$-0.1063 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1467 (233 markets)5.2/10
32/85 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 379% of peak ($1,251 / $330)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#795,618$-210Vol: $144,947
CRYPTO#1,289,238$-23Vol: $16,735
🌤️ WEATHER#15,326$23Vol: $1,613
📈 ECONOMICS#585,170$-7Vol: $807
💰 FINANCE#604,672$-27Vol: $491
SPORTS#1,633,879$-69Vol: $282
📢 MENTIONS#39,944$1Vol: $45
🏛️ POLITICS#142,218$17Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-296
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$164,942
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
233
total markets
Trades
408B / 282S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $5
Week
$20
Vol: $105
Month
$19
Vol: $2,105
All Time
$-296
Vol: $164,942

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
73W / 160L events
Realized PnL
$-296
Win Rate
31%
73W / 160L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,080 (3.65322826123719% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$392
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$357
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$331
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$208
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?$147
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$125
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$113
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$108
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$101
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$93

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-336
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-260
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-234
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-215
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-166
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-155
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-149
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$-139
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-132
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-112

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.100
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1126s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.96
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.6%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)23.3%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 12:40:52 PM5 trades$10,8950 min
7/27/2026, 4:44:36 PM5 trades$4,0060 min
6/16/2026, 3:09:34 PM11 trades$1,9410 min
6/11/2026, 4:39:54 PM14 trades$4193 min
7/24/2026, 11:27:25 AM6 trades$4070 min
5/14/2026, 9:21:30 AM3 trades$3560 min
5/3/2026, 6:03:00 PM3 trades$3450 min
4/7/2026, 7:35:33 AM8 trades$3331 min
5/8/2026, 3:12:10 PM2 trades$3120 min
6/19/2026, 9:06:23 AM7 trades$3050 min
6/15/2026, 6:53:40 PM6 trades$2900 min
7/17/2026, 8:02:00 AM3 trades$2840 min
5/16/2026, 12:13:08 PM3 trades$2820 min
6/16/2026, 4:16:53 PM7 trades$2800 min
6/5/2026, 2:02:40 PM7 trades$2780 min
7/23/2026, 3:07:39 PM8 trades$2710 min
4/7/2026, 10:45:27 AM6 trades$2661 min
6/26/2026, 8:12:41 AM9 trades$2550 min
7/17/2026, 3:58:25 PM3 trades$2500 min
4/3/2026, 6:03:25 AM8 trades$2420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-16
03-04
03-19
04-06
05-16
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.6 / M30.1 / H23.3