@0xcaef6F…2185

#3,003,70852

0xcaef6f80f6b206f36d5eb8f54898e516300bc642

~8d· 67 markets · 1597 tradesVol: $576,5162026-08-04 19:43:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (9/66)0/20
1.32x (win $46,678 / loss $35,240)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.10815/15
Sortino 6.53610/10
$+0.1810 per $1 invested9/10
HHI 359 (66 markets)10/10
1/8 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($19,169 / $30,607)1.5/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
Whale
$63,198 invested
High Roller
$1,109/day

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,522,482$-30Vol: $548,458
₿ CRYPTO#1,647,931$-2,007Vol: $16,502
🌤️ WEATHER#285,675$-105Vol: $7,246
📈 ECONOMICS#651,516$-60Vol: $4,309

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,202
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$576,516
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
98B / 1499S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
9W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-2,202
Win Rate
14%
9W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$5,186
Avg Loss
$-653

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,136 (13.232672525376389% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5$12,300
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 1 Qatar?$9,200
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5$7,636
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$7,252
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$3,263
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$2,389
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$2,085
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$1,489
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5$1,064

Top Losers

Spread: France (-1.5)$-4,000
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5$-3,116
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)$-3,000
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5$-2,000
Spread: Japan (-1.5)$-2,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-1,575
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5$-1,376
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$-1,198
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-1,000
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$-1,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.103
Sortino
0.449
HHI
1157
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.7%
Top-5 markets
66.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
25s
between trades
Avg Gap
51.2m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
114.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 25s — normal for humanCV 2.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule28 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.4%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)9.2%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 11:04:29 AM301 trades$145,34416 min
6/24/2026, 9:07:17 PM159 trades$91,9328 min
6/26/2026, 5:46:52 PM333 trades$89,2649 min
6/27/2026, 1:57:20 AM9 trades$59,1662 min
6/24/2026, 3:29:26 PM60 trades$56,2727 min
7/5/2026, 5:00:22 PM10 trades$14,9560 min
6/24/2026, 3:56:20 PM8 trades$7,0070 min
5/10/2026, 4:48:29 PM301 trades$5,8684 min
5/11/2026, 3:12:23 AM287 trades$5,6091 min
5/11/2026, 12:58:25 AM73 trades$4,3960 min
5/10/2026, 5:02:27 PM13 trades$3,7530 min
5/10/2026, 4:40:36 PM5 trades$3,4960 min
6/26/2026, 4:38:41 AM34 trades$2,5801 min
6/11/2026, 6:14:25 PM4 trades$2,3481 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-10
05-11
06-11
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
93.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.4 / M21.4 / H9.2