@PROPHET.NOTES
#18,658620xcb11f64db3ab8d00f36381300028db7f31db0d5e
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (254/479)11.5/20
1.27x (win $42,590 / loss $33,496)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.11615/15
Sortino 1.61210/10
$+0.0724 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 179 (479 markets)10/10
152/292 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($10,422 / $13,086)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+7,390
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$125,532 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,984$-803Vol: $307,098
📈 ECONOMICS#1,328$3,609Vol: $49,946
🎭 CULTURE#2,305$3,020Vol: $18,364
📢 MENTIONS#1,195$1,081Vol: $6,993
₿ CRYPTO#1,514,978$-156Vol: $6,566
💰 FINANCE#15,103$141Vol: $4,936
💻 TECH#1,988$597Vol: $3,441
⚽ SPORTS#114,369$113Vol: $3,386
🌤️ WEATHER#275,184$-47Vol: $3,114
Overview
#1Net PnL
$7,390
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$404,924
Total Redeem
$1,702
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
500
total markets
Trades
1954B / 399S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~482d
Periods
#2Today
$-232
Vol: $9,228
Week
$-290
Vol: $9,423
Month
$-502
Vol: $9,423
All Time
$7,390
Vol: $404,924
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
254W / 225L events
Realized PnL
$7,390
Win Rate
53%
254W / 225L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$168
Avg Loss
$-152
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,635 (1.033150845820152% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$3,266
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2,479
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,890
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1,758
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$1,505
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,495
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$1,488
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$1,483
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1,398
US military action against Iran before July?$1,071
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-3,376
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$-3,113
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-2,327
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,673
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,425
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,204
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-1,056
US recession in 2025?$-857
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-830
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-700
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.063
HHI
204
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
20.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 868s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.84
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)43.2%
Sessions
#128/4/2026, 11:46:35 AM9 trades$3,5490 min
6/23/2026, 8:09:37 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
12/27/2025, 11:17:05 AM4 trades$2,9904 min
11/4/2025, 3:52:41 AM4 trades$2,7062 min
6/14/2026, 9:29:19 PM5 trades$2,3404 min
1/10/2026, 10:26:48 AM2 trades$1,9641 min
1/3/2026, 6:33:31 AM1 trades$1,7000 min
8/4/2026, 11:11:48 AM2 trades$1,5000 min
3/23/2026, 11:12:57 AM16 trades$1,28914 min
6/14/2026, 9:41:52 PM3 trades$1,2600 min
6/26/2025, 8:07:55 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
6/19/2026, 6:30:28 PM1 trades$1,1850 min
7/11/2026, 12:08:43 AM39 trades$1,08020 min
6/16/2026, 1:17:51 AM8 trades$1,0701 min
4/28/2026, 12:46:32 PM3 trades$1,0482 min
6/14/2026, 9:21:49 PM9 trades$1,0272 min
9/23/2025, 12:33:28 PM3 trades$1,0120 min
6/14/2026, 10:14:24 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
8/4/2026, 9:54:12 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
4/13/2026, 2:52:43 AM2 trades$9920 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
03-16
08-20
01-29
07-30
01-16
06-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 240 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.1 / M31.7 / H43.2