
@NoTeacher
#2,741,285200xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d
~77d· 144 markets · 1902 tradesVol: $101,7962026-08-04 16:54:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (45/104)6.6/20
0.48x (win $3,689 / loss $7,754)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1080/15
Sortino -3.2350/10
$-0.1377 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 389 (104 markets)10/10
20/48 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,065 / $0)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7💻 TECH#234,675$-19Vol: $69,949
💰 FINANCE#642,849$-186Vol: $25,516
⚽ SPORTS#185,901$37Vol: $2,329
🌤️ WEATHER#278,073$-58Vol: $1,988
🎭 CULTURE#624,635$-4Vol: $972
₿ CRYPTO#968,714$-3Vol: $581
🏛️ POLITICS#1,169,536$-6Vol: $460
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-238
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$101,796
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
1036B / 866S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $31
Week
$-74
Vol: $2,013
Month
$-19
Vol: $4,545
All Time
$-238
Vol: $101,796
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
45W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-287
Win Rate
43%
45W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$82
Avg Loss
$-144
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,794 (6.25693354264783% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$794
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$503
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$496
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$286
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$256
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?$185
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$165
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?$156
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$139
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$103
Top Losers
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-3,191
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-1,290
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-807
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-313
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$-288
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$-268
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-158
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-133
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$-105
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-99
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.161
Sortino
-0.135
HHI
352
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
32.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
18.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 322s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.34
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.6%
High (>55c)62.3%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 6:43:27 AM49 trades$1,4236 min
6/11/2026, 4:51:22 AM12 trades$1,0238 min
6/10/2026, 2:29:15 PM13 trades$9290 min
7/6/2026, 12:10:50 PM4 trades$9120 min
7/23/2026, 6:18:33 PM21 trades$7999 min
4/25/2026, 3:33:06 PM11 trades$78014 min
7/6/2026, 10:36:04 AM109 trades$77927 min
6/14/2026, 4:05:25 PM11 trades$7705 min
6/14/2026, 2:52:21 PM5 trades$6915 min
7/22/2026, 7:37:39 AM33 trades$6127 min
7/10/2026, 7:26:56 PM37 trades$5898 min
7/24/2026, 5:31:18 AM15 trades$57113 min
7/10/2026, 9:57:43 PM3 trades$5570 min
6/14/2026, 2:39:07 PM4 trades$5543 min
7/14/2026, 4:22:08 PM25 trades$55211 min
7/8/2026, 8:33:44 PM1 trades$5420 min
6/15/2026, 1:34:15 PM4 trades$5070 min
7/27/2026, 6:10:22 PM21 trades$4806 min
6/24/2026, 9:54:38 PM1 trades$4660 min
6/14/2026, 3:31:31 PM2 trades$4650 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-03
06-04
06-14
07-07
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.2 / M11.6 / H62.3