@0xCb8D21…0782

#115,03271

0xcb8d2132486036ac971ed7f64b2330db43f69e29

~38d· 36 markets · 84 tradesVol: $11,350 @rafario01292026-08-04 23:41:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (15/33)7.7/20
2.23x (win $1,768 / loss $791)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.63715/15
Sortino 11.26210/10
$+0.2102 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1240 (33 markets)6.3/10
14/30 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($530 / $977)3.1/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+509
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#56,019$514Vol: $8,737
💰 FINANCE#528,003$-3Vol: $1,049
🏛️ POLITICS#212,206$5Vol: $767
🎭 CULTURE#198,803$0Vol: $671
CRYPTO#1,110,458$-8Vol: $100
📈 ECONOMICS#123,725$1Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$509
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,350
Total Redeem
$959
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
48B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$509
Vol: $11,350

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
15W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$509
Win Rate
45%
15W / 18L
Profit Factor
2.23x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
$-47

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,353 (2.657753065073876% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pacers vs. Bulls$640
Timberwolves vs. Pistons$612
Clippers vs. Pelicans$101
Grizzlies vs. 76ers$84
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$78
Bucks vs. Hawks$75
Pelicans vs. Rockets$42
Pelicans vs. Knicks$41
Nuggets vs. Thunder$34
Bulls vs. Lakers$25

Top Losers

Nets vs. Kings$-198
76ers vs. Hornets$-139
Warriors vs. Nuggets$-114
Nets vs. Pistons$-102
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks$-68
Raptors vs. Bulls$-49
Trail Blazers vs. Nets$-33
Celtics vs. Grizzlies$-20
Hornets vs. Nets$-19
Thunder vs. 76ers$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.187
Sortino
0.546
HHI
650
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.212
Kelly %
10.7%
Half-Kelly
5.3%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
44.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.9h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1718s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 9:20:11 AM12 trades$1,4522 min
1/7/2026, 6:10:31 AM6 trades$9523 min
4/2/2026, 9:09:47 AM2 trades$8300 min
12/26/2025, 2:22:35 PM4 trades$3895 min
4/1/2026, 10:31:43 AM5 trades$3770 min
12/26/2025, 2:38:41 PM2 trades$3231 min
1/30/2026, 2:27:40 AM2 trades$2332 min
3/14/2026, 7:30:51 AM1 trades$2240 min
3/22/2026, 2:16:23 PM1 trades$1980 min
11/11/2025, 1:15:18 PM1 trades$1720 min
4/6/2026, 10:53:01 AM3 trades$1700 min
1/30/2026, 6:30:44 AM1 trades$1650 min
11/12/2025, 6:02:16 AM1 trades$1640 min
3/28/2026, 8:20:23 AM1 trades$1390 min
3/10/2026, 9:30:27 AM1 trades$1360 min
3/24/2026, 8:20:31 AM1 trades$1360 min
3/17/2026, 8:07:49 AM1 trades$1290 min
3/12/2026, 8:50:53 AM1 trades$1190 min
3/19/2026, 9:26:25 AM1 trades$1140 min
3/29/2026, 11:50:18 AM1 trades$1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
03-01
03-13
03-19
03-24
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M20.8 / H68.8