@erva50

#2,939,13944

0xcb91f30ed2bce0224d2462c1714443911e20f766

~156d· 973 markets · 1670 tradesVol: $298,129 @kriptoerva2026-08-04 21:51:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (416/969)6.5/20
1.18x (win $12,117 / loss $10,274)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3947.4/15
Sortino 1.34810/10
$+0.0544 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 178 (969 markets)10/10
54/149 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($3,682 / $5,525)0.7/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,578,831$-394Vol: $199,864
🎭 CULTURE#801,453$-324Vol: $38,748
SPORTS#1,790,153$-437Vol: $28,226
🏛️ POLITICS#67,361$91Vol: $24,353
📈 ECONOMICS#637,342$-30Vol: $4,051
🌤️ WEATHER#249,880$-12Vol: $2,048
💰 FINANCE#66,264$7Vol: $832

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,105
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$298,129
Total Redeem
$852
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
973
total markets
Trades
1368B / 302S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~156d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $200
Week
$-4
Vol: $400
Month
$-4
Vol: $400
All Time
$-1,105
Vol: $298,129

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
416W / 553L events
Realized PnL
$-1,105
Win Rate
43%
416W / 553L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,299 (8.419049947038214% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7,000
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,122
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$178
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$60
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?$51
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?$36
Hurricanes vs. Wild$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?$30
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$28
Will Torino win on 2025-10-26?$27

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,702
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-1,190
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-996
Rangers vs. Lightning$-680
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-617
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-530
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-485
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-240
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-105
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-41

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.059
HHI
220
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
10.3%
Half-Kelly
5.2%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal3.4 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.91
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.9%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)46.1%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 4:30:14 AM28 trades$3,0943 min
5/15/2026, 6:24:52 AM30 trades$2,7973 min
6/14/2026, 8:54:57 AM15 trades$1,9986 min
4/28/2026, 8:14:16 AM28 trades$1,4026 min
6/25/2026, 12:11:49 PM11 trades$1,1072 min
5/3/2026, 6:28:36 AM23 trades$9425 min
6/6/2026, 7:52:03 AM21 trades$8184 min
4/15/2026, 4:08:04 PM6 trades$7800 min
6/13/2026, 8:16:52 AM8 trades$7760 min
6/13/2026, 3:35:49 PM3 trades$7000 min
6/19/2026, 11:41:29 AM32 trades$6656 min
4/5/2026, 1:11:07 PM10 trades$6553 min
12/1/2025, 7:24:04 AM16 trades$6366 min
7/19/2026, 11:35:04 AM10 trades$61412 min
7/7/2026, 2:08:47 PM4 trades$6011 min
4/24/2026, 7:32:34 AM29 trades$5848 min
11/23/2025, 8:30:45 AM27 trades$5379 min
12/2/2025, 7:54:24 AM3 trades$5051 min
7/28/2026, 9:51:40 AM5 trades$5025 min
11/28/2025, 7:10:11 AM10 trades$5025 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
11-17
12-13
01-08
02-10
03-17
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.9 / M18 / H46.1