ChrisBill

@ChrisBill

#6,96659

0xcc2ea32ce17d22e2910fbe14c1e5e5c6bee72358

~643d· 613 markets · 11635 tradesVol: $3,783,567 @Chris_Bill_2026-08-04 22:23:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (388/592)17.8/20
1.16x (win $66,509 / loss $57,521)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5199.7/15
Sortino 0.6846.8/10
$+0.0150 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 89 (592 markets)10/10
200/311 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($16,428 / $25,390)1.1/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+22,858
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 18.6 entries/market
Whale
$600,704 invested
Consistent
200/311 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#7,369$4,004Vol: $1,908,463
SPORTS#3,133$18,062Vol: $1,473,517
🎭 CULTURE#1,575$4,889Vol: $164,899
📈 ECONOMICS#681,254$-2,403Vol: $139,598
💰 FINANCE#655,919$-1,717Vol: $53,105
CRYPTO#28,608$1,116Vol: $19,357
📢 MENTIONS#170,127$-239Vol: $8,634
💻 TECH#5,642$111Vol: $5,217

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22,858
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,783,567
Total Redeem
$1,846
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
613
total markets
Trades
7226B / 4409S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~643d

Periods

#2
Today
$-77
Vol: $321
Week
$-582
Vol: $542
Month
$-871
Vol: $542
All Time
$22,858
Vol: $3,783,567

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
388W / 204L events
Realized PnL
$22,858
Win Rate
66%
388W / 204L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$171
Avg Loss
$-288

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,828 (0.823702887711858% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$13,938
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$2,648
Will the gross punt yardage in Super Bowl LIX be 332 or more yards?$2,242
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$2,229
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?$1,550
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?$1,534
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1,405
Will Elon post 40-49 times?$1,305
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$1,032
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?$1,029

Top Losers

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-12,265
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$-3,703
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-3,412
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-2,097
Will Barcelona win La Liga?$-1,865
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?$-1,814
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-1,599
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?$-1,389
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-1,221
Will Elon tweet between 80 and 89 times?$-1,170

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.027
Sortino
0.022
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 510s — normal for humanCV 2.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.62
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.4%
Mid (20-55c)29.4%
High (>55c)29.2%

Sessions

#12
7/25/2026, 3:36:18 PM2 trades$7,0000 min
3/6/2025, 5:08:47 AM4 trades$5,0642 min
10/8/2024, 12:53:59 AM7 trades$4,9153 min
5/11/2024, 10:44:54 PM6 trades$4,8823 min
9/26/2024, 4:02:37 PM4 trades$4,6780 min
3/16/2025, 10:09:45 PM1 trades$4,5790 min
8/25/2025, 9:10:31 PM2 trades$4,2802 min
6/22/2025, 4:03:02 AM3 trades$3,9184 min
9/6/2024, 6:42:19 PM4 trades$3,8961 min
8/1/2025, 3:46:32 PM1 trades$3,8840 min
9/18/2024, 9:52:13 AM5 trades$3,6951 min
8/7/2025, 2:23:59 PM2 trades$3,6510 min
7/22/2024, 12:28:02 AM1 trades$3,4880 min
8/12/2025, 4:38:22 AM1 trades$3,4800 min
2/25/2026, 11:26:52 PM1 trades$3,2990 min
2/19/2025, 8:05:43 PM1 trades$3,2800 min
8/25/2025, 8:55:17 PM5 trades$3,1799 min
3/16/2025, 11:03:35 PM1 trades$3,1500 min
8/10/2025, 9:18:54 PM1 trades$2,9910 min
1/31/2026, 9:53:30 AM1 trades$2,9820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
06-28
09-26
03-15
09-02
02-10
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.4 / M29.4 / H29.2