@pump-prediction

#759,22788

0xcd8a4848266b3330540d1213eb896e394f142765

~68d· 365 markets · 1674 tradesVol: $38,9222026-08-04 18:59:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (324/361)20/20
1.77x (win $1,132 / loss $639)12.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.67215/15
Sortino 9.67110/10
$+0.0210 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 50 (361 markets)10/10
53/63 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($96 / $505)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+1
Consistent
53/63 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
49 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#68,597$183Vol: $12,693
🏛️ POLITICS#76,984$69Vol: $9,013
🎭 CULTURE#39,885$30Vol: $7,196
SPORTS#1,738,914$-199Vol: $4,921
💰 FINANCE#46,984$14Vol: $3,020
📈 ECONOMICS#623,462$-18Vol: $922
💻 TECH#50,687$1Vol: $100
🌤️ WEATHER#278,049$-57Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,922
Total Redeem
$140
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
365
total markets
Trades
822B / 852S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1
Vol: $38,922

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
324W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
90%
324W / 37L
Profit Factor
1.77x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $115 (220.44230769230768% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?$54
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$33
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-05-06?$28
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?$25
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?$17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$17
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-06?$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$16
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$16
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$16

Top Losers

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-78
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-77
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-74
Will Fujieda MYFC vs. Fukushima United FC end in a draw?$-59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-57
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$-55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-53
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$-46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.346
Sortino
0.256
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)93.6%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 2:55:54 PM59 trades$9277 min
4/25/2026, 5:41:22 PM29 trades$7916 min
5/4/2026, 4:32:18 PM17 trades$6901 min
5/6/2026, 6:09:40 AM23 trades$6503 min
3/23/2026, 5:27:59 AM16 trades$62310 min
4/23/2026, 4:33:06 AM13 trades$5125 min
4/24/2026, 3:29:44 AM19 trades$4765 min
4/25/2026, 6:10:56 AM15 trades$4269 min
5/4/2026, 4:15:04 AM29 trades$4061 min
4/27/2026, 6:34:04 AM16 trades$4005 min
6/13/2026, 9:33:36 PM2 trades$4000 min
5/2/2026, 11:50:16 PM8 trades$3930 min
5/2/2026, 8:28:42 PM74 trades$3797 min
4/26/2026, 2:11:10 PM19 trades$3778 min
5/6/2026, 5:04:58 AM19 trades$3717 min
3/23/2026, 4:38:57 PM12 trades$3626 min
3/16/2026, 4:03:35 AM11 trades$34810 min
4/15/2026, 4:42:04 AM11 trades$3472 min
5/6/2026, 5:38:32 PM21 trades$34610 min
4/23/2026, 4:44:02 PM15 trades$3450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-19
03-30
04-25
05-05
05-17
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M0.2 / H93.6