@lukewu

#2,988,3437

0xcda6ba66c6d59695d254bf0003d1ea0ed3b2596d

~10d· 30 markets · 126 tradesVol: $10,5612026-08-05 16:38:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (8/30)0/20
0.61x (win $844 / loss $1,391)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9800/15
Sortino -3.4310/10
$-0.2791 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1182 (30 markets)6.6/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,115 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,804,117$-579Vol: $6,710
₿ CRYPTO#1,195,830$-13Vol: $395

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,820
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,561
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
58B / 68S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
8W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-1,820
Win Rate
27%
8W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $760 (0.41746874107280196% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$605
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$33
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$30
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$9
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$9

Top Losers

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5$-589
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?$-200
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$-120
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-71
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?$-60
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-52
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?$-40
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$-30
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 IR Iran?$-30
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.147
Sortino
-0.154
HHI
2020
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.279
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.2%
Top-5 markets
74.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 511s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)37.9%
High (>55c)39.7%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 4:42:25 PM7 trades$1,0831 min
6/21/2026, 6:56:40 PM2 trades$8330 min
6/22/2026, 7:24:32 PM10 trades$7504 min
6/29/2026, 10:56:05 AM5 trades$3540 min
6/21/2026, 8:37:19 PM3 trades$3302 min
6/29/2026, 10:49:17 AM3 trades$2221 min
6/22/2026, 7:14:41 PM4 trades$1931 min
6/23/2026, 5:00:17 PM6 trades$1703 min
6/23/2026, 4:49:44 PM6 trades$1492 min
7/15/2026, 4:01:23 PM6 trades$1336 min
6/21/2026, 12:28:26 PM6 trades$1322 min
6/23/2026, 9:22:35 AM4 trades$1300 min
6/21/2026, 10:16:04 PM2 trades$1210 min
6/22/2026, 1:46:55 PM4 trades$960 min
6/23/2026, 7:12:10 PM4 trades$901 min
6/21/2026, 10:12:17 AM2 trades$690 min
6/24/2026, 7:32:53 PM4 trades$651 min
6/19/2026, 2:46:31 PM7 trades$576 min
6/22/2026, 6:02:29 AM3 trades$540 min
6/22/2026, 1:38:53 PM3 trades$450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-29
07-01
07-06
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.4 / M37.9 / H39.7