@frahertel

#2,624,19134

0xcdd7bc97fbdd43d0772d94f11f033d5a22ddfb78

~92d· 2421 markets · 5830 tradesVol: $21,6302026-08-04 21:48:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (1962/2419)20/20
0.72x (win $909 / loss $1,260)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4710/15
Sortino -4.6970/10
$-0.0312 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 19 (2419 markets)10/10
40/90 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 1070% of peak ($399 / $37)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Win Streak
37 wins in a row

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,727,920$-168Vol: $11,322
CRYPTO#129,392$49Vol: $6,349
🏛️ POLITICS#177,936$9Vol: $2,266
🎭 CULTURE#655,402$-6Vol: $701
💰 FINANCE#576,419$-11Vol: $99
📈 ECONOMICS#517,803$-2Vol: $54
🌤️ WEATHER#183,125$-1Vol: $52
📢 MENTIONS#116,629$-5Vol: $33
💻 TECH#89,871$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,630
Total Redeem
$46
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2421
total markets
Trades
3877B / 1953S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $177
Month
$-2
Vol: $212
All Time
$-130
Vol: $21,630

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
1962W / 457L events
Realized PnL
$-130
Win Rate
81%
1962W / 457L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32 (0.2453497309761722% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$13
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$8
Los Angeles FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$6

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?$-50
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-25?$-40
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?$-30
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-27
Kings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5$-26
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?$-25
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11?$-23
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-21
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.233
Sortino
-0.215
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.5
Active
Markets / Day
12.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.7m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity31 trades/day — high frequency13 markets/day — mass coverage13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)96.7%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 12:36:40 AM4 trades$3350 min
2/2/2026, 4:44:50 AM12 trades$11811 min
4/26/2026, 6:35:46 PM4 trades$1091 min
4/26/2026, 6:27:28 PM11 trades$1081 min
1/28/2026, 7:24:06 PM5 trades$10011 min
2/1/2026, 4:13:08 PM11 trades$946 min
2/2/2026, 10:02:16 PM9 trades$8910 min
2/2/2026, 3:08:12 PM9 trades$803 min
4/11/2026, 6:54:45 PM10 trades$784 min
2/5/2026, 3:19:39 AM13 trades$7414 min
7/23/2026, 3:40:18 AM4 trades$740 min
2/2/2026, 4:21:22 AM2 trades$731 min
4/26/2026, 7:07:58 PM24 trades$7312 min
2/2/2026, 5:04:16 PM10 trades$699 min
2/4/2026, 10:03:01 PM4 trades$681 min
2/2/2026, 1:55:18 PM2 trades$673 min
2/2/2026, 2:17:10 PM15 trades$6511 min
2/1/2026, 9:59:40 PM18 trades$6520 min
2/2/2026, 7:13:56 PM7 trades$613 min
2/4/2026, 4:13:30 AM6 trades$605 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
02-11
02-26
03-13
04-12
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 178 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M2.4 / H96.7