@0xce31…7d09

38

0xce3116c76433e60b8972c56b73d89d8caa3c7d09

~33d· 69 markets · 146 trades2026-08-05 00:12:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (46/69)18.3/20
0.54x (win $14 / loss $26)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4260/15
Sortino -4.5700/10
$-0.1167 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 209 (69 markets)10/10
22/32 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 741% of peak ($14 / $2)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Consistent
22/32 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
78B / 68S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
46W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-21
Win Rate
67%
46W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.19730107026523966% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?$2
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?$1
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$0

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$-4
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$-2
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$-2
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?$-2
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$-2
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.244
HHI
195
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.114
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
18%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
53.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.49
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3235s — normal for humanCV 0.50 — uniform order sizes27% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2.6%
High (>55c)97.4%

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 3:35:51 PM5 trades$82 min
7/13/2026, 3:32:37 PM10 trades$66 min
7/2/2026, 2:27:20 PM2 trades$60 min
3/11/2026, 5:59:03 AM2 trades$42 min
7/2/2026, 1:24:34 AM2 trades$40 min
7/29/2026, 10:51:48 AM4 trades$40 min
4/9/2026, 5:46:13 AM2 trades$30 min
3/16/2026, 1:50:15 PM1 trades$30 min
3/11/2026, 3:27:53 PM1 trades$30 min
3/11/2026, 3:08:43 PM2 trades$31 min
8/4/2026, 7:30:45 AM4 trades$23 min
7/1/2026, 1:31:10 PM2 trades$20 min
7/4/2026, 1:49:31 AM2 trades$20 min
7/17/2026, 4:10:46 PM2 trades$20 min
7/4/2026, 5:06:19 PM2 trades$20 min
7/16/2026, 4:48:23 AM4 trades$21 min
3/16/2026, 5:22:47 AM1 trades$20 min
3/11/2026, 2:49:31 PM1 trades$20 min
3/11/2026, 2:58:19 PM1 trades$20 min
3/12/2026, 3:01:13 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-16
06-11
07-04
07-20
07-27
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 135 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M2.6 / H97.4