@0xce693c…6704

#2,249,3418

0xce693cbd853099351b3634ef8e70599435a06282

~46d· 98 markets · 273 tradesVol: $2,9252026-08-04 23:35:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (25/96)0/20
0.50x (win $180 / loss $364)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9520/15
Sortino -5.7200/10
$-0.4342 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 839 (96 markets)8.3/10
9/33 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 456% of peak ($267 / $59)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
73% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#634,265$-26Vol: $1,151
⚽ SPORTS#1,587,923$-49Vol: $934
🏛️ POLITICS#100,806$40Vol: $840

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,925
Total Redeem
$51
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
132B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $4
All Time
$-35
Vol: $2,925

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
25W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$-35
Win Rate
26%
25W / 71L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89 (2.5431850789096124% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$37
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$29
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$11
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$10
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$8
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$5
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$5

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-43
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-27
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$-10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-10
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.255
Sortino
-0.304
HHI
2673
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.265
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.6%
Top-5 markets
96.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.69
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)53%
High (>55c)27.3%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:38:01 AM4 trades$2640 min
6/13/2026, 6:58:39 PM2 trades$1670 min
4/23/2026, 3:22:00 PM2 trades$1470 min
4/7/2026, 10:43:11 PM5 trades$1442 min
6/16/2026, 4:56:10 AM25 trades$909 min
5/9/2026, 7:00:04 PM2 trades$770 min
5/4/2026, 1:11:12 PM9 trades$533 min
4/16/2026, 6:09:18 PM2 trades$440 min
4/14/2026, 5:57:40 PM2 trades$430 min
4/14/2026, 11:40:11 AM4 trades$300 min
6/14/2026, 2:06:30 PM12 trades$293 min
5/6/2026, 9:38:04 AM2 trades$280 min
4/12/2026, 9:29:51 AM3 trades$280 min
6/15/2026, 4:46:36 AM6 trades$224 min
4/14/2026, 8:38:52 PM4 trades$220 min
5/6/2026, 8:56:00 AM2 trades$220 min
5/31/2026, 3:57:05 AM2 trades$220 min
6/21/2026, 4:58:59 AM14 trades$227 min
4/25/2026, 12:31:48 PM2 trades$200 min
5/25/2026, 1:06:50 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
05-03
05-31
06-18
06-23
07-04
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.69/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.7 / M53 / H27.3