shmo1e

@shmo1e

#2,663,9018

0xceafce21c1c42c57de1fa2e2d75e22fb4492106e

~24d· 279 markets · 1616 tradesVol: $62,1812026-08-04 18:59:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (108/273)4.8/20
0.68x (win $372 / loss $550)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9850/15
Sortino -7.6190/10
$-0.2533 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2053 (273 markets)2.2/10
8/24 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 1349% of peak ($192 / $14)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,688,171$-108Vol: $61,397
CRYPTO#1,274,474$-21Vol: $585
📢 MENTIONS#117,142$-6Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-159
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,181
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
279
total markets
Trades
428B / 1188S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-159
Vol: $62,181

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
108W / 165L events
Realized PnL
$-159
Win Rate
40%
108W / 165L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37 (0.2365299684542587% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$13
FC Ballkani vs. Connah's Quay Nomads FC: Connah's Quay Nomads FC O/U 1.5$13
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever$12
Piracicaba: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Villanueva$12
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-07-15?$11
Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC: O/U 1.5$10
Club Puebla leading at halftime?$8
FC Drita vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5$8
Abidjan 2: Maks Kasnikowski vs Calvin Hemery$8
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5$8

Top Losers

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-30?$-25
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins$-18
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-04?$-14
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5$-12
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5$-11
France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 Corners$-11
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$-11
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo$-10
ITF Monastir: Yelyzaveta Chainykova vs Marie Villet$-10
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.409
Sortino
-0.410
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.261
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
14.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.3m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active3.0 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.87
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)49.8%
High (>55c)36.2%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 12:26:32 PM387 trades$7,21317 min
6/23/2026, 4:35:23 PM6 trades$2,0022 min
6/23/2026, 3:27:10 PM197 trades$2,0000 min
6/23/2026, 3:05:26 PM16 trades$1,4530 min
6/26/2026, 11:12:32 AM3 trades$1,0500 min
6/23/2026, 4:50:01 PM5 trades$1,0120 min
6/23/2026, 1:41:26 PM8 trades$1,0052 min
6/23/2026, 2:53:31 PM69 trades$1,0020 min
6/23/2026, 1:34:13 PM91 trades$1,0020 min
6/23/2026, 2:22:49 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
6/23/2026, 2:30:50 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
6/23/2026, 2:42:53 PM27 trades$1,0000 min
6/23/2026, 9:03:34 AM22 trades$3628 min
5/4/2026, 8:57:02 PM22 trades$2005 min
6/23/2026, 2:33:37 AM8 trades$840 min
5/1/2026, 1:32:44 AM46 trades$768 min
5/4/2026, 8:07:30 AM44 trades$734 min
5/4/2026, 7:12:34 AM43 trades$726 min
4/30/2026, 11:02:24 PM10 trades$635 min
6/22/2026, 5:06:47 PM23 trades$543 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-04
06-24
07-06
07-12
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.87/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14 / M49.8 / H36.2