Serega-pro

@Serega-pro

#3,066,36431

0xcfb502224876900f577704a19580ec67f0877d2d

~335d· 692 markets · 6621 tradesVol: $1,866,9542026-08-04 21:24:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (380/640)14.7/20
0.78x (win $101,478 / loss $129,922)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0960/15
Sortino -1.3110/10
$-0.0456 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 363 (640 markets)10/10
120/222 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 13109% of peak ($41,413 / $316)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 10.0 entries/market
Whale
$623,361 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,606$-1,405Vol: $1,400,594
📈 ECONOMICS#682,911$-11,877Vol: $208,670
🎭 CULTURE#814,903$-3,042Vol: $76,398
📢 MENTIONS#1,730$685Vol: $71,240
⚽ SPORTS#1,858,475$-2,177Vol: $42,114
₿ CRYPTO#1,484,854$-111Vol: $31,413
💻 TECH#256,899$-713Vol: $28,600
💰 FINANCE#644,864$-263Vol: $6,743
🌤️ WEATHER#260,949$-20Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18,883
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,866,954
Total Redeem
$11,583
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
692
total markets
Trades
3363B / 3258S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~335d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,457
Vol: $0
Week
$1,578
Vol: $154
Month
$2,619
Vol: $1,154
All Time
$-18,883
Vol: $1,866,954

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
380W / 260L events
Realized PnL
$-18,883
Win Rate
59%
380W / 260L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$267
Avg Loss
$-516

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $22,222 (1.176843544634691% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$11,472
Kash Patel out by June 30?$6,111
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$4,639
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$4,482
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4,278
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$4,183
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4,048
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$3,975
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$3,967
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?$2,623

Top Losers

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$-13,225
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-6,663
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$-6,495
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-5,514
US-China trade deal before June?$-5,339
Boxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis$-4,599
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$-4,500
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$-4,235
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?$-3,940
Will Trump attend UFC 327?$-3,900

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
179
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
2.0%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
21.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 207s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.99
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)33.1%
High (>55c)57.3%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 1:37:26 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
4/8/2026, 12:15:59 PM438 trades$48,52938 min
4/29/2025, 2:47:28 AM4 trades$22,7073 min
10/29/2025, 12:09:57 AM3 trades$13,7273 min
10/27/2025, 4:36:23 PM11 trades$11,2524 min
6/15/2026, 9:19:46 PM59 trades$9,7213 min
10/27/2025, 4:45:51 PM26 trades$9,49922 min
4/2/2026, 8:28:29 PM19 trades$9,3307 min
4/23/2026, 12:10:10 PM34 trades$9,2962 min
3/5/2026, 4:39:57 PM6 trades$9,1664 min
4/22/2026, 10:49:38 PM49 trades$8,6403 min
10/27/2025, 2:40:39 PM9 trades$7,76912 min
1/3/2025, 2:37:13 PM2 trades$7,7442 min
10/27/2025, 3:40:39 PM6 trades$7,6653 min
4/23/2025, 12:10:48 AM1 trades$7,5200 min
3/12/2025, 9:16:31 PM2 trades$7,3505 min
4/25/2026, 12:38:50 AM35 trades$7,34412 min
4/21/2026, 10:00:24 PM50 trades$7,30810 min
4/18/2026, 11:11:26 AM10 trades$7,1830 min
3/15/2025, 5:33:34 AM1 trades$7,1710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-24
05-01
07-19
09-21
10-30
04-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 475 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M33.1 / H57.3