pika2zero

@pika2zero

#2,499,70982

0xcfdceaac4912b9a56ce2d837269270c0bff85a2e

~268d· 853 markets · 4784 tradesVol: $365,225 @ruggedpikachu2026-08-05 16:38:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (383/664)13.8/20
1.71x (win $28,158 / loss $16,503)11.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.20915/15
Sortino 6.10510/10
$+0.0979 per $1 invested4.9/10
HHI 144 (664 markets)10/10
96/153 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($4,196 / $15,851)8.7/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Whale
$119,003 invested
Consistent
96/153 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#27,956$476Vol: $226,922
CRYPTO#27,219$1,229Vol: $55,113
SPORTS#66,912$350Vol: $34,481
📈 ECONOMICS#678,676$-888Vol: $21,241
🎭 CULTURE#810,126$-882Vol: $14,330
💰 FINANCE#632,078$-98Vol: $9,319
📢 MENTIONS#123,900$-8Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-85
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$365,225
Total Redeem
$1,537
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
853
total markets
Trades
3086B / 1698S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~268d

Periods

#2
Today
$61
Vol: $1,354
Week
$18
Vol: $3,356
Month
$-1
Vol: $4,941
All Time
$-85
Vol: $365,225

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
383W / 281L events
Realized PnL
$-85
Win Rate
58%
383W / 281L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$74
Avg Loss
$-67

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,312 (132.41753482383237% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$6,281
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2,884
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,148
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$2,076
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,906
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,003
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$847
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$584
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$358
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$341

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,856
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-1,469
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-1,405
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,222
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,121
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-696
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-693
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-635
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-517
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-423

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.115
Sortino
0.208
HHI
142
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.105
Kelly %
1.0%
Half-Kelly
0.5%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.59
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 9:20:32 AM132 trades$5,90212 min
5/19/2026, 8:03:14 PM55 trades$4,93011 min
5/22/2026, 7:10:34 PM90 trades$3,33923 min
4/1/2026, 7:20:57 AM37 trades$2,38936 min
5/4/2026, 8:16:12 PM15 trades$1,8836 min
5/6/2026, 7:56:07 PM23 trades$1,54315 min
5/6/2026, 7:28:47 PM3 trades$1,1383 min
5/2/2026, 11:26:32 AM25 trades$1,1076 min
6/15/2026, 9:36:54 AM24 trades$1,09715 min
4/9/2026, 8:15:19 AM8 trades$1,0554 min
12/10/2024, 8:21:10 PM8 trades$1,0377 min
4/1/2026, 5:08:35 PM16 trades$1,0312 min
7/27/2026, 11:13:06 AM16 trades$1,0022 min
7/29/2026, 6:57:50 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/26/2026, 7:29:55 AM12 trades$9905 min
4/8/2026, 8:36:53 PM20 trades$9653 min
5/23/2026, 8:51:05 AM38 trades$95914 min
6/23/2026, 12:14:56 PM23 trades$9147 min
10/3/2025, 11:41:05 AM4 trades$8802 min
4/9/2026, 5:01:53 PM5 trades$8580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
06-23
01-10
03-08
04-16
05-22
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12 / M19 / H69