@Semper-Augustus

#2,716,38326

0xd02e128a6501569c88c3b13321771916e3e56fa6

~10d· 11 markets · 77 tradesVol: $3,8762026-08-05 01:19:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (6/9)18.3/20
0.25x (win $119 / loss $470)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2306 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2003 (9 markets)2.5/10
3/6 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 805% of peak ($430 / $53)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market

Categories

4
💻 TECH#248,013$-85Vol: $2,274
🎭 CULTURE#780,894$-100Vol: $772
📢 MENTIONS#160,202$-59Vol: $452
💰 FINANCE#30,091$37Vol: $378

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-206
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,876
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
27B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Week
$-95
Vol: $948
Month
$-95
Vol: $948
All Time
$-206
Vol: $3,876

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
6W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-206
Win Rate
67%
6W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-235

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $116 (0.5605114049106493% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$68
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1

Top Losers

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-430
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.318
Sortino
-0.201
HHI
2068
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.217
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.7%
Top-5 markets
93%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 625s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)7.4%
High (>55c)92.6%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 2:52:19 AM10 trades$4930 min
6/30/2026, 2:50:50 AM4 trades$4381 min
5/14/2026, 4:58:24 AM8 trades$2900 min
7/21/2026, 2:08:48 PM6 trades$2621 min
7/17/2026, 3:46:15 AM4 trades$2410 min
6/13/2026, 3:19:30 PM2 trades$2200 min
5/14/2026, 11:39:00 AM7 trades$1820 min
8/4/2026, 2:58:59 PM9 trades$1760 min
7/21/2026, 5:14:25 AM8 trades$1181 min
7/22/2026, 8:08:04 AM3 trades$800 min
7/19/2026, 1:41:16 PM5 trades$670 min
5/14/2026, 4:37:08 PM2 trades$401 min
5/14/2026, 3:18:55 PM1 trades$200 min
5/14/2026, 4:31:38 PM1 trades$200 min
4/24/2026, 6:44:20 PM4 trades$183 min
5/14/2026, 4:12:51 PM1 trades$80 min
5/14/2026, 4:02:19 PM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2026, 3:29:20 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-14
06-30
07-17
07-21
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M7.4 / H92.6