The-Graape

@The-Graape

#64,11661

0xd060ccfa7fa068c8d2681277e5c545a3070dce4f

~27d· 200 markets · 1185 tradesVol: $193,2392026-08-04 19:06:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (64/194)1.5/20
1.44x (win $41,908 / loss $29,079)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.75815/15
Sortino 13.45910/10
$+0.2389 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 192 (194 markets)10/10
10/26 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($6,220 / $12,829)4.3/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,504
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
Whale
$53,692 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#28,029$1,543Vol: $190,550
🏛️ POLITICS#1,439,944$-38Vol: $2,669
🎭 CULTURE#520,353$-1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,504
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$193,239
Total Redeem
$8
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
200
total markets
Trades
496B / 689S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,504
Vol: $193,239

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
64W / 130L events
Realized PnL
$1,504
Win Rate
33%
64W / 130L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$655
Avg Loss
$-246

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,707 (9.777560599412288% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$9,082
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,364
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,261
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,947
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,559
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$1,467
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$1,398
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$1,389
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,326
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$1,262

Top Losers

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,978
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,390
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,320
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,280
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,274
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,217
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,152
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,073
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,054
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-976

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.193
Sortino
0.638
HHI
197
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.224
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
19.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.5m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 69s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.4%
Mid (20-55c)40.9%
High (>55c)37.7%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 10:03:11 PM163 trades$20,49616 min
6/29/2026, 11:57:35 PM27 trades$6,5074 min
6/18/2026, 8:10:11 PM27 trades$6,39015 min
6/17/2026, 9:12:31 PM35 trades$5,31021 min
7/7/2026, 3:16:56 AM28 trades$5,2251 min
7/7/2026, 3:42:02 PM8 trades$4,9762 min
6/25/2026, 6:08:19 PM21 trades$4,5386 min
6/22/2026, 6:02:16 PM28 trades$4,30512 min
6/26/2026, 9:56:41 PM27 trades$4,1618 min
6/20/2026, 4:05:44 PM19 trades$4,09612 min
6/19/2026, 6:06:34 PM12 trades$3,1114 min
6/23/2026, 12:05:10 AM34 trades$2,8763 min
6/24/2026, 6:25:28 PM16 trades$2,2635 min
6/22/2026, 11:04:53 PM30 trades$2,2513 min
6/19/2026, 5:56:43 PM9 trades$2,2141 min
6/21/2026, 5:21:22 PM16 trades$2,1909 min
6/20/2026, 3:31:25 PM8 trades$2,0831 min
6/22/2026, 4:19:17 PM12 trades$2,0835 min
6/20/2026, 7:07:05 PM37 trades$2,0827 min
6/20/2026, 4:58:08 PM12 trades$1,9797 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
12-15
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-30
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.22/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.4 / M40.9 / H37.7