@Fetherstonhaugh

#2,549,33789

0xd0cb511c7d457ac1434a838eaf5ff9d27283c986

~14d· 17 markets · 57 tradesVol: $17,5512026-08-04 23:36:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (9/10)20/20
9.80x (win $638 / loss $65)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 15.91415/15
Sortino 60.46010/10
$+0.0675 per $1 invested3.4/10
HHI 1473 (10 markets)5.1/10
7/8 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($64 / $573)10/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Consistent
7/8 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,386,645$-22Vol: $14,562
SPORTS#1,647,530$-78Vol: $2,989

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,551
Total Redeem
$444
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
33B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
9W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-100
Win Rate
90%
9W / 1L
Profit Factor
9.8x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-65

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $409 (4.089953972383431% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?$163
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?$150
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$96
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-2.5)$83
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?$51
Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)$41
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$39
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$1

Top Losers

Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5$-65

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.779
Sortino
inf
HHI
861
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.7%
Top-5 markets
57.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
47.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
79%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2860s — normal for humanCV 0.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)79% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)84.8%

Sessions

#12
5/21/2026, 3:00:58 AM4 trades$1,0300 min
5/23/2026, 2:56:57 AM4 trades$1,0300 min
5/25/2026, 2:48:35 AM4 trades$1,0024 min
4/19/2026, 6:20:56 AM4 trades$7915 min
5/25/2026, 2:00:55 AM2 trades$5350 min
5/2/2026, 9:00:16 AM2 trades$4700 min
5/3/2026, 1:13:34 AM1 trades$4570 min
7/14/2026, 2:26:26 AM2 trades$4550 min
7/7/2026, 1:44:32 AM2 trades$4450 min
7/14/2026, 3:23:55 AM1 trades$4400 min
6/23/2026, 2:18:53 AM2 trades$4350 min
6/23/2026, 3:18:58 AM2 trades$4350 min
6/26/2026, 1:47:56 AM2 trades$4300 min
6/26/2026, 3:28:52 AM2 trades$4300 min
7/7/2026, 2:56:31 AM1 trades$4280 min
6/26/2026, 5:19:23 AM2 trades$4100 min
4/19/2026, 4:51:18 AM2 trades$3950 min
4/20/2026, 5:06:40 AM2 trades$3950 min
6/26/2026, 6:27:31 AM1 trades$3850 min
4/20/2026, 7:14:30 AM1 trades$3800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-19
04-20
05-03
05-25
06-15
06-26
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.2 / M0 / H84.8