@manda1984

#46,37930

0xd0e05be3b63af1dc7dbf121a4b88c6079210a7f6

~15d· 14 markets · 349 tradesVol: $40,2462026-08-05 16:36:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (2/13)0/20
1.63x (win $3,421 / loss $2,100)10.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.2228 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2003 (13 markets)2.5/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($549 / $1,506)6.7/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+2,327
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#10,119$2,500Vol: $23,028
⚽ SPORTS#1,728,506$-172Vol: $17,218

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,327
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,246
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
168B / 181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-7
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,327
Vol: $40,246

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
2W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$2,327
Win Rate
15%
2W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.63x
Avg Win
$1,711
Avg Loss
$-262

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,421 (1.4701329952946736% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$3,398
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$23

Top Losers

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-806
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$-549
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$-439
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-183
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?$-121
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1
Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.258
Sortino
0.948
HHI
4115
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.1%
Top-5 markets
113.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.2m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 3.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.15
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)26.8%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 9:07:13 PM2 trades$2,8840 min
6/21/2026, 9:45:49 PM13 trades$2,40314 min
6/19/2026, 6:12:29 PM5 trades$2,1304 min
6/11/2026, 2:33:13 PM28 trades$1,4848 min
6/9/2026, 5:16:34 PM34 trades$1,4271 min
6/21/2026, 10:56:11 PM2 trades$1,2470 min
6/21/2026, 9:36:02 PM5 trades$9601 min
7/1/2026, 7:59:28 PM25 trades$5699 min
6/21/2026, 9:17:11 PM7 trades$4550 min
6/21/2026, 5:06:02 PM14 trades$4424 min
6/11/2026, 3:40:25 PM11 trades$4350 min
6/9/2026, 3:51:00 PM11 trades$3693 min
6/19/2026, 5:46:52 PM2 trades$2670 min
6/21/2026, 7:32:46 PM2 trades$2001 min
6/17/2026, 3:44:50 PM7 trades$1390 min
6/21/2026, 3:35:28 PM4 trades$1360 min
6/14/2026, 4:19:45 PM5 trades$1100 min
6/21/2026, 6:03:47 PM4 trades$1015 min
6/21/2026, 5:44:13 PM11 trades$808 min
6/20/2026, 3:27:53 PM1 trades$580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-21
06-25
07-01
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72 / M1.2 / H26.8