@Stymie004

#44,70878

0xd1242028f631b3c626fd56ebf8db03296950aa4d

~12d· 30 markets · 421 tradesVol: $147,6942026-08-04 21:50:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (26/30)20/20
1.42x (win $5,387 / loss $3,803)7.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.03115/15
Sortino 4.63210/10
$+0.0870 per $1 invested4.4/10
HHI 480 (30 markets)10/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($2,362 / $3,947)2/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+2,435
DCA Master
Avg 14.0 entries/market
Consistent
8/12 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#37,632$665Vol: $134,136
⚽ SPORTS#24,781$1,771Vol: $13,558

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$147,694
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
42B / 379S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
26W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$2,435
Win Rate
87%
26W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$207
Avg Loss
$-951

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,366 (0.9713844599838218% of PnL)

Top Winners

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5$1,023
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5$812
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$531
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$465
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)$409
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$227
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$199
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$184
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$145
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$130

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$-1,632
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$-894
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5$-751
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$-526

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.152
Sortino
0.263
HHI
422
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.087
Kelly %
12.5%
Half-Kelly
6.3%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
29.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3607s — normal for humanCV 0.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule11 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)88.1%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 4:35:01 AM2 trades$2,0800 min
7/17/2026, 7:23:42 PM28 trades$1,5250 min
6/27/2026, 6:18:37 AM34 trades$1,4312 min
6/25/2026, 10:00:07 PM2 trades$1,3110 min
6/29/2026, 7:07:10 PM2 trades$1,2050 min
7/15/2026, 3:43:50 PM27 trades$1,1511 min
7/31/2026, 4:44:33 PM25 trades$1,0740 min
6/26/2026, 9:32:35 PM4 trades$1,0410 min
7/31/2026, 2:44:56 PM26 trades$9380 min
6/26/2026, 9:17:11 PM2 trades$8990 min
6/26/2026, 4:07:59 PM13 trades$8500 min
7/13/2026, 6:14:01 PM17 trades$8380 min
6/26/2026, 3:07:52 PM11 trades$8180 min
6/26/2026, 4:59:26 PM31 trades$8160 min
7/15/2026, 2:33:11 PM5 trades$8151 min
6/26/2026, 2:53:13 PM25 trades$7830 min
6/26/2026, 1:38:34 PM6 trades$7720 min
6/25/2026, 6:28:14 PM12 trades$7470 min
6/23/2026, 2:27:05 AM2 trades$7080 min
6/25/2026, 7:19:58 PM15 trades$6550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-25
06-27
07-02
07-13
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
90% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M11.9 / H88.1