@sinestia
#3,075,759300xd1780c09a7c3622958c568ca96d10d9cd4ba6703
~251d· 755 markets · 8439 tradesVol: $7,741,0232026-08-05 16:36:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (419/755)12.7/20
0.89x (win $1,201,172 / loss $1,355,597)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0100/15
Sortino -1.1900/10
$-0.0426 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 43 (755 markets)10/10
137/246 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 759% of peak ($242,211 / $31,895)0/10
Badges
6DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
Whale
$3,627,088 invested
High Roller
$5,898/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#1,884,230$-184,630Vol: $7,167,797
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,877$-11,294Vol: $361,011
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,981$-3,294Vol: $21,568
📢 MENTIONS#162,944$-92Vol: $210
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-207,745
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,741,023
Total Redeem
$12,180
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
755
total markets
Trades
6883B / 1556S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~251d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
419W / 336L events
Realized PnL
$-207,745
Win Rate
56%
419W / 336L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$2,867
Avg Loss
$-4,158
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $86,045 (0.4141868694327309% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?$35,202
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?$25,701
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?$25,142
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-15?$21,724
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?$21,426
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?$17,105
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?$15,400
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?$15,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?$13,786
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$13,573
Top Losers
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$-83,066
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?$-71,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?$-35,041
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?$-30,020
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?$-30,001
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?$-25,997
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-23,200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$-21,547
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-19,994
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?$-19,362
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
54.1m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.2
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
50% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 4.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)72.5%
Sessions
#1211/5/2025, 7:48:49 PM53 trades$83,0664 min
10/14/2025, 6:08:33 PM2 trades$69,9421 min
12/30/2024, 4:49:44 AM2 trades$69,8951 min
11/9/2025, 10:06:51 PM1 trades$61,2780 min
11/9/2025, 1:14:47 PM16 trades$53,4938 min
12/29/2024, 8:08:44 AM1 trades$47,4380 min
10/29/2025, 8:07:45 PM9 trades$41,8791 min
9/14/2025, 3:18:58 PM2 trades$41,5020 min
4/27/2025, 5:48:17 PM2 trades$40,1852 min
8/23/2025, 7:27:59 PM3 trades$40,0623 min
10/2/2025, 3:47:31 PM8 trades$39,9605 min
11/2/2025, 1:59:49 PM26 trades$38,7244 min
2/17/2026, 10:46:43 PM90 trades$36,11810 min
11/9/2025, 8:07:19 PM3 trades$35,5770 min
11/26/2025, 7:48:19 PM1 trades$35,0410 min
4/26/2026, 9:34:46 PM35 trades$34,16315 min
11/8/2025, 7:53:51 PM2 trades$33,8330 min
9/16/2025, 6:52:14 PM3 trades$32,2666 min
4/13/2025, 8:15:55 PM9 trades$31,43411 min
11/13/2025, 9:48:42 PM1 trades$31,2800 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
04-16
10-18
12-23
02-28
05-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 431 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M22.8 / H72.5