@degenpeterturchin2025

#2,492,29849

0xd188394ebc9757df38f51c43fde165668f58ae31

~84d· 280 markets · 764 tradesVol: $49,4242026-08-05 17:27:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (52/243)0/20
1.21x (win $1,488 / loss $1,227)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.32515/15
Sortino 3.63110/10
$+0.0896 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 377 (243 markets)10/10
19/68 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($211 / $432)4.2/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#64,510$99Vol: $14,279
⚽ SPORTS#1,705,661$-129Vol: $14,102
🎭 CULTURE#39,752$31Vol: $11,593
📈 ECONOMICS#664,244$-131Vol: $4,970
💰 FINANCE#29,906$38Vol: $2,503
💻 TECH#9,759$38Vol: $990
₿ CRYPTO#221,493$12Vol: $815
📢 MENTIONS#153,961$-41Vol: $172

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-83
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$49,424
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
280
total markets
Trades
501B / 263S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $0
Month
$21
Vol: $0
All Time
$-83
Vol: $49,424

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
52W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$-83
Win Rate
21%
52W / 191L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $639 (7.7185462448683895% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?$309
Knicks vs. Spurs$171
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?$160
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$138
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$85
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$73
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?$70
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$70
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?$62

Top Losers

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$-45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?$-40
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$-36
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?$-35
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$-29
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-28
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$-27
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$-25
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.069
Sortino
0.216
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
16.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
55.7m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)14%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 5:18:51 AM32 trades$1,0127 min
6/6/2026, 8:35:18 PM30 trades$6067 min
6/10/2026, 12:36:42 AM21 trades$3472 min
6/1/2026, 1:00:44 AM20 trades$3429 min
5/12/2026, 4:54:01 AM12 trades$2878 min
5/6/2026, 12:44:36 AM10 trades$2614 min
6/4/2026, 1:44:01 AM11 trades$2435 min
6/20/2026, 2:37:04 AM19 trades$1654 min
7/15/2026, 1:22:31 AM10 trades$1616 min
2/2/2026, 11:52:44 PM34 trades$11816 min
6/3/2026, 10:37:03 PM9 trades$1162 min
3/1/2026, 2:08:49 AM2 trades$1102 min
8/16/2025, 1:00:34 AM14 trades$1105 min
8/26/2025, 2:18:55 AM10 trades$1079 min
5/12/2026, 5:07:17 AM2 trades$1000 min
5/12/2026, 12:17:49 PM2 trades$1000 min
5/21/2026, 12:50:03 PM7 trades$984 min
5/12/2026, 5:22:01 AM10 trades$941 min
4/28/2026, 10:07:40 PM9 trades$906 min
12/25/2025, 6:10:05 PM10 trades$896 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-16
09-11
11-23
01-29
02-22
05-12
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.5 / M26.5 / H14