@Luna-One-19.02.2025

#2,720,37884

0xd1db319e81ad6e9be7e135229dc6f90f37a71afa

~55d· 230 markets · 575 tradesVol: $23,8992026-08-04 19:18:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (115/224)10.7/20
2.37x (win $1,532 / loss $646)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.26615/15
Sortino 15.12410/10
$+0.5204 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 895 (224 markets)8/10
26/49 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($213 / $997)9.7/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#663,748$-128Vol: $14,200
🏛️ POLITICS#1,398,497$-25Vol: $5,560
₿ CRYPTO#1,385,963$-49Vol: $3,984
💰 FINANCE#589,894$-17Vol: $105
🎭 CULTURE#76,973$8Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,899
Total Redeem
$88
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
230
total markets
Trades
409B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-211
Vol: $23,899

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
115W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$-211
Win Rate
51%
115W / 109L
Profit Factor
2.37x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,087 (5.149495523660651% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$499
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$498
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$90
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$32
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$16
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$14

Top Losers

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$-75
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-74
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-63
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-34
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$-16
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.169
Sortino
0.653
HHI
847
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.424
Kelly %
33.4%
Half-Kelly
16.7%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 480s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.68
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.4%
Mid (20-55c)36.9%
High (>55c)34.7%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 7:19:39 AM14 trades$41312 min
4/26/2026, 10:00:48 AM5 trades$2570 min
4/25/2026, 3:22:38 PM9 trades$2434 min
4/25/2026, 3:32:26 PM14 trades$17012 min
4/28/2026, 7:35:22 PM6 trades$1430 min
4/22/2026, 4:03:14 PM2 trades$1160 min
5/3/2026, 12:50:10 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/9/2026, 3:48:59 PM8 trades$932 min
4/12/2026, 11:32:19 AM5 trades$901 min
5/18/2026, 4:43:29 PM3 trades$840 min
4/5/2026, 7:37:07 AM2 trades$710 min
5/18/2026, 5:15:49 PM3 trades$630 min
4/27/2026, 5:13:28 PM7 trades$621 min
5/3/2026, 4:00:14 PM6 trades$603 min
5/3/2026, 3:25:48 PM18 trades$5212 min
5/24/2026, 5:09:18 PM3 trades$450 min
4/13/2026, 3:04:39 PM5 trades$441 min
3/23/2026, 4:40:51 PM2 trades$421 min
3/18/2026, 7:55:25 PM2 trades$384 min
3/19/2026, 8:24:03 PM1 trades$370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-04
03-14
03-28
04-22
05-18
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.68/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.4 / M36.9 / H34.7