@motrading

#2,835,64525

0xd1f2aba14979cee2dafeb34b6c6bc6a2fcbe9bf5

~13d· 21 markets · 427 tradesVol: $13,3372026-08-04 22:09:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (9/15)15/20
1.01x (win $238 / loss $236)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0541/15
Sortino 0.0750.7/10
$+0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2206 (15 markets)1.5/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 164% of peak ($135 / $82)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 16.7 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#292,180$-246Vol: $8,323
CRYPTO#1,443,598$-81Vol: $1,664
📈 ECONOMICS#636,017$-28Vol: $1,619
🎭 CULTURE#753,969$-40Vol: $1,124
🏛️ POLITICS#1,421,197$-30Vol: $326
💰 FINANCE#560,478$-7Vol: $160
📢 MENTIONS#141,149$-19Vol: $120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-452
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,337
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
244B / 183S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-452
Vol: $13,337

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
9W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-452
Win Rate
60%
9W / 6L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $189 (0.41767948462509136% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?$84
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?$59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?$46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?$16
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?$12
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?$7
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?$2

Top Losers

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$-114
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 30?$-49
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?$-21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 11?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.004
HHI
724
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
13.0%
Half-Kelly
6.5%
Top-1 market
19.1%
Top-5 markets
53.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)40.2%
High (>55c)59.8%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 6:13:53 PM59 trades$33814 min
6/30/2026, 11:01:46 AM6 trades$2270 min
6/30/2026, 4:28:38 AM26 trades$2081 min
7/12/2026, 2:38:05 PM20 trades$2032 min
7/12/2026, 2:20:31 PM19 trades$1917 min
6/30/2026, 12:23:31 PM19 trades$13311 min
6/28/2026, 9:12:02 AM18 trades$1302 min
6/29/2026, 8:56:41 PM10 trades$1305 min
7/11/2026, 7:45:49 AM16 trades$1232 min
6/27/2026, 9:54:16 PM16 trades$1211 min
7/2/2026, 7:18:20 PM14 trades$11013 min
6/30/2026, 9:46:04 PM12 trades$951 min
6/29/2026, 3:26:14 AM10 trades$929 min
7/2/2026, 4:53:46 AM6 trades$633 min
6/30/2026, 9:56:05 PM3 trades$600 min
6/29/2026, 2:58:34 PM7 trades$560 min
6/29/2026, 4:11:43 PM9 trades$565 min
6/29/2026, 3:09:28 PM10 trades$528 min
7/2/2026, 4:06:32 PM7 trades$510 min
6/29/2026, 3:59:13 PM9 trades$474 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
06-28
06-29
06-30
07-02
07-05
07-06
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
93.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M40.2 / H59.8