@ginolle

#18,49787

0xd226cdb339ab6dab0e8f84d7531ecee0ea5335ac

~73d· 154 markets · 1599 tradesVol: $197,6232026-08-05 16:35:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (83/149)12.9/20
2.20x (win $27,345 / loss $12,435)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.00915/15
Sortino 8.68910/10
$+0.1733 per $1 invested8.7/10
HHI 339 (149 markets)10/10
29/54 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($3,742 / $16,251)9.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+7,510
DCA Master
Avg 12.9 entries/market
Whale
$86,047 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#8,255$3,372Vol: $86,894
💰 FINANCE#1,939$2,558Vol: $43,905
📈 ECONOMICS#680,458$-1,475Vol: $19,852
SPORTS#1,827,309$-996Vol: $15,625
CRYPTO#23,004$1,674Vol: $15,019

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,510
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$197,623
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
154
total markets
Trades
1013B / 586S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$7,510
Vol: $197,623

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
83W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$7,510
Win Rate
56%
83W / 66L
Profit Factor
2.2x
Avg Win
$329
Avg Loss
$-201

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,297 (1.5042015799698278% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$7,302
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,098
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,897
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1,294
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1,253
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$1,244
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$1,215
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$1,181
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$986
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$959

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$-3,717
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-2,083
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,910
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-708
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$-682
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-597
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$-328
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-271
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$-202
Spurs vs. Knicks$-129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.208
Sortino
0.333
HHI
589
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.137
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
40.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 466s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.93
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)62.6%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 8:43:28 AM22 trades$4,25310 min
6/18/2026, 4:21:19 PM17 trades$3,1632 min
6/22/2026, 7:47:26 PM2 trades$2,9570 min
4/22/2026, 8:53:22 AM6 trades$2,9382 min
6/19/2026, 2:00:11 PM5 trades$2,6180 min
6/20/2026, 1:51:23 PM7 trades$2,4910 min
6/18/2026, 4:01:38 PM3 trades$2,0601 min
7/8/2026, 8:20:02 AM11 trades$2,0180 min
6/30/2026, 8:57:58 AM2 trades$1,9190 min
5/1/2026, 9:47:30 AM7 trades$1,9083 min
4/22/2026, 11:37:40 AM6 trades$1,8901 min
7/1/2026, 11:46:04 AM4 trades$1,8000 min
5/25/2026, 5:25:01 PM2 trades$1,7470 min
6/20/2026, 6:55:05 PM12 trades$1,6823 min
5/8/2026, 6:30:37 PM8 trades$1,5920 min
4/28/2026, 1:27:26 PM5 trades$1,5135 min
4/24/2026, 6:47:56 PM30 trades$1,4543 min
4/22/2026, 7:10:40 PM8 trades$1,4499 min
4/21/2026, 7:42:50 PM16 trades$1,3856 min
4/28/2026, 2:50:36 PM3 trades$1,2903 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
04-28
05-09
06-09
06-20
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.5 / M29.9 / H62.6