@nightcrawler

#168,96133

0xd242076f22923056df04731f698e98422fc6ba4e

~166d· 1362 markets · 4314 tradesVol: $185,3792026-08-04 22:39:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (414/1356)0.3/20
1.01x (win $15,201 / loss $15,017)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4217.9/15
Sortino 0.5385.4/10
$+0.0046 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 82 (1356 markets)10/10
87/155 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 183% of peak ($488 / $266)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+214
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#7,836$505Vol: $79,299
₿ CRYPTO#55,276$286Vol: $39,180
⚽ SPORTS#1,813,235$-717Vol: $26,449
🏛️ POLITICS#327,279$1Vol: $18,377
🌤️ WEATHER#8,049$80Vol: $11,421
📈 ECONOMICS#24,950$27Vol: $6,561
💻 TECH#20,179$8Vol: $2,019
💰 FINANCE#37,890$23Vol: $1,661

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$214
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$185,379
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1362
total markets
Trades
3462B / 852S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$214
Vol: $185,379

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
414W / 942L events
Realized PnL
$214
Win Rate
31%
414W / 942L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,604 (7.484994165694282% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?$636
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?$496
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$472
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?$460
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$408
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?$381
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$309
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 21 at 5PM ET?$243
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2700 on June 12 at 5 PM ET?$235
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 15 at 5 PM ET?$233

Top Losers

Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?$-529
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?$-449
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?$-346
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$-345
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?$-322
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-283
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 12 at 5 PM ET?$-220
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 21 at 5PM ET?$-218
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?$-217
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?$-211

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.021
HHI
61
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 153s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal2.8 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)20.1%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2025, 3:29:07 PM78 trades$7673 min
8/6/2025, 8:32:06 AM28 trades$6978 min
7/11/2025, 12:45:06 PM18 trades$4503 min
8/4/2025, 3:57:36 AM22 trades$4433 min
3/13/2025, 6:58:25 AM15 trades$43923 min
7/22/2025, 12:16:22 PM12 trades$4372 min
7/21/2025, 8:54:11 PM16 trades$4157 min
6/11/2025, 6:08:05 PM15 trades$4054 min
6/15/2025, 8:19:47 PM24 trades$40023 min
3/14/2025, 8:54:57 PM11 trades$39418 min
6/7/2025, 4:15:42 PM20 trades$3796 min
6/4/2025, 12:09:30 AM18 trades$3640 min
7/23/2025, 9:45:58 PM12 trades$3552 min
8/16/2025, 2:38:12 PM8 trades$3524 min
7/21/2025, 7:49:23 PM16 trades$3515 min
7/10/2025, 2:53:38 AM36 trades$3512 min
7/8/2025, 9:49:07 AM44 trades$3452 min
6/4/2025, 9:37:04 AM48 trades$3376 min
7/11/2025, 11:22:54 AM16 trades$3264 min
8/17/2025, 5:59:06 PM16 trades$2781 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-27
05-22
06-16
07-27
05-18
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.1 / M37.8 / H20.1