@lilywillwin

#2,209,95230

0xd2512f93512769fb51512d7cfba564b819717284

~21d· 76 markets · 127 tradesVol: $31,3282026-08-05 01:18:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (55/72)20/20
0.47x (win $26 / loss $56)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6210/15
Sortino -4.0790/10
$-0.0019 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3463 (72 markets)0/10
13/18 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($31 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Consistent
13/18 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,222,998$-8Vol: $15,163
⚽ SPORTS#1,437,860$-18Vol: $10,235
₿ CRYPTO#1,081,270$-7Vol: $5,508
🎭 CULTURE#200,568$0Vol: $319
💰 FINANCE#179,751$0Vol: $89
💻 TECH#83,137$0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,328
Total Redeem
$58
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
78B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-30
Vol: $31,328

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
55W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-30
Win Rate
76%
55W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21 (0.7111037234042554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Heat vs. Jazz$9
Celtics vs. Bulls$7
Celtics vs. Nets$5
Lakers vs. Mavericks$2
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage$1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$0
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?$0

Top Losers

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies$-15
Nuggets vs. Bucks$-14
Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?$-10
Rockets vs. Pistons$-6
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-3
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$-2
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.184
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
1511
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
73.2%
Half-Kelly
36.6%
Top-1 market
31.8%
Top-5 markets
63.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.68
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)98.7%

Sessions

#12
2/4/2026, 2:22:46 AM2 trades$5,0522 min
2/4/2026, 2:56:10 AM2 trades$5,0163 min
2/4/2026, 3:22:44 AM2 trades$4,9805 min
2/4/2026, 1:58:04 AM1 trades$2,5390 min
2/4/2026, 2:45:18 AM1 trades$2,5170 min
2/4/2026, 2:37:44 AM1 trades$2,5170 min
2/4/2026, 3:48:30 AM1 trades$2,4790 min
2/4/2026, 3:53:48 AM1 trades$2,4790 min
2/4/2026, 4:44:56 AM1 trades$2,4660 min
3/13/2026, 7:19:19 AM11 trades$804 min
6/8/2026, 8:24:40 AM8 trades$792 min
2/23/2026, 10:08:30 AM13 trades$732 min
6/16/2026, 8:45:12 AM8 trades$631 min
3/30/2026, 2:30:08 AM4 trades$601 min
5/14/2026, 6:44:07 AM10 trades$592 min
4/2/2026, 12:58:07 AM8 trades$571 min
1/31/2026, 2:10:20 AM4 trades$541 min
1/23/2026, 9:26:14 AM5 trades$521 min
2/5/2026, 10:51:05 AM4 trades$501 min
2/5/2026, 10:43:39 AM4 trades$501 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-05
03-17
04-03
05-20
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M1.3 / H98.7