@GammaTheta

#3,059,0457

0xd28dc91fbeb46757ad316db32a3cdcc26da21fb7

~61d· 20 markets · 841 tradesVol: $195,1562026-08-04 22:39:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (7/20)2.5/20
0.06x (win $645 / loss $10,511)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1370/15
Sortino -5.8510/10
$-0.6542 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2023 (20 markets)2.4/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 6524% of peak ($10,020 / $154)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,943$-8,844Vol: $185,609
💰 FINANCE#652,604$-738Vol: $7,640
🎭 CULTURE#805,641$-499Vol: $700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,099
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$195,156
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
788B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
7W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-10,099
Win Rate
35%
7W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-809

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $546 (0.05404969185189879% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$345
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$153
Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?$48
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?$42
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$35
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?$22
Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?$0

Top Losers

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$-7,293
Will another coalition form the next German Government?$-601
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?$-571
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$-499
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-498
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$-321
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$-242
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$-218
Another monkeypox case in US in 2024?$-172
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.313
Sortino
-0.256
HHI
2716
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.654
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
48.4%
Top-5 markets
78.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 3.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
42.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.4%
Mid (20-55c)4.7%
High (>55c)2.9%

Sessions

#12
2/4/2025, 9:51:37 PM1 trades$1,8000 min
2/1/2025, 8:14:25 PM11 trades$1,76716 min
7/1/2026, 7:40:52 PM10 trades$9391 min
2/12/2025, 6:15:22 PM5 trades$7408 min
2/6/2025, 11:17:27 AM1 trades$5590 min
1/30/2025, 10:56:00 PM1 trades$4800 min
2/1/2025, 9:34:51 PM2 trades$4053 min
7/15/2026, 6:47:53 AM3 trades$4000 min
2/3/2025, 10:57:30 AM1 trades$3720 min
1/31/2025, 4:26:04 PM1 trades$3600 min
2/11/2025, 8:22:14 AM1 trades$3600 min
12/20/2024, 2:02:08 PM1 trades$3550 min
11/20/2024, 2:27:07 PM1 trades$3550 min
11/15/2024, 2:02:29 PM2 trades$3505 min
2/7/2025, 10:56:13 PM1 trades$3450 min
3/25/2025, 8:25:48 PM1 trades$3450 min
2/16/2025, 5:25:10 PM1 trades$3440 min
12/25/2024, 2:32:28 PM3 trades$3260 min
2/12/2025, 6:51:12 PM1 trades$2710 min
2/8/2025, 11:06:29 AM1 trades$2640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-15
11-24
01-16
02-22
02-25
12-25
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 603 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 42.05/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.4 / M4.7 / H2.9