@0xd2b86D…3385

#3,049,4999

0xd2b86da404bc36bab60777a18e2e4f7197a88cf5

~37d· 488 markets · 1418 tradesVol: $120,0232026-08-04 18:12:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (198/480)5.6/20
0.16x (win $595 / loss $3,753)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.6410/15
Sortino -7.8770/10
$-0.4705 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1843 (480 markets)3.3/10
6/31 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 63255% of peak ($3,163 / $5)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

7
💰 FINANCE#657,653$-4,529Vol: $59,073
📈 ECONOMICS#657,140$-88Vol: $33,283
🏛️ POLITICS#1,617,476$-1,157Vol: $14,575
₿ CRYPTO#1,557,634$-265Vol: $8,610
🎭 CULTURE#92,285$5Vol: $1,911
⚽ SPORTS#1,760,737$-270Vol: $1,841
📢 MENTIONS#164,324$-102Vol: $730

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,406
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,023
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
488
total markets
Trades
1040B / 378S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-193
Vol: $0
Week
$-568
Vol: $281
Month
$-1,299
Vol: $2,970
All Time
$-6,406
Vol: $120,023

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
198W / 282L events
Realized PnL
$-6,418
Win Rate
41%
198W / 282L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $117 (0.0182349366615248% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$50
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$32
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$27
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?$15
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$14
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$14
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$11

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$-1,121
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-347
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?$-320
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$-262
Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$-200
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-158
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$-130
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-109
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.445
Sortino
-0.405
HHI
603
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.635
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23%
Top-5 markets
37%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.2m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 4.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal2.8 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)46%
High (>55c)34%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 3:13:20 PM11 trades$18,6631 min
7/19/2026, 7:08:57 PM59 trades$4,0619 min
7/27/2026, 2:23:52 PM13 trades$3,6917 min
7/5/2026, 1:00:04 PM17 trades$1,6893 min
7/27/2026, 1:16:15 AM4 trades$1,6670 min
7/27/2026, 1:22:12 AM10 trades$1,3011 min
7/26/2026, 7:46:13 PM10 trades$1,2700 min
7/31/2026, 1:04:56 PM9 trades$1,2400 min
7/27/2026, 4:46:10 PM8 trades$1,2190 min
7/29/2026, 5:36:23 PM6 trades$1,1950 min
7/28/2026, 11:35:17 PM7 trades$1,1020 min
7/5/2026, 1:08:38 PM8 trades$1,0014 min
7/28/2026, 10:53:14 AM6 trades$9640 min
7/28/2026, 10:53:49 PM10 trades$9431 min
7/23/2026, 11:30:07 AM14 trades$8850 min
6/25/2026, 2:30:10 AM20 trades$7597 min
6/25/2026, 1:46:35 PM23 trades$5185 min
6/15/2026, 2:48:52 AM3 trades$5000 min
7/23/2026, 10:58:43 AM6 trades$4271 min
7/26/2026, 3:55:24 PM8 trades$3530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
02-17
02-22
02-28
03-09
07-19
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 170 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M46 / H34