@0xD2cba0…6323

#2,872,64837

0xd2cba0c6464f96d2567ecc81d5f708d9670e7729

~22d· 54 markets · 425 tradesVol: $26,7892026-08-04 23:35:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (19/24)20/20
0.16x (win $640 / loss $4,052)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.8460/15
Sortino -7.2830/10
$-0.2056 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 769 (24 markets)8.7/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 4079% of peak ($3,809 / $93)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 10.1 entries/market
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,369$-544Vol: $13,738
💰 FINANCE#633,687$-104Vol: $7,118
📈 ECONOMICS#25,487$26Vol: $1,719
💻 TECH#6,819$78Vol: $1,253
🎭 CULTURE#739,857$-28Vol: $521
🌤️ WEATHER#152,110$0Vol: $330

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-599
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,789
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
113B / 312S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$42
Vol: $0
Month
$49
Vol: $0
All Time
$-599
Vol: $26,789

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
19W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-599
Win Rate
79%
19W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-1,013

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $225 (0.3749707719544376% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$84
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$72
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$69
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$68
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$48
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$44
Epstein client list released by June 30?$41
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$25
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$20

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,097
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,778
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?$-105
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$-73

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.392
Sortino
-0.292
HHI
412
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.274
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
36.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.1%
High (>55c)85.8%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 7:14:04 AM52 trades$2,9115 min
6/20/2026, 2:16:58 AM44 trades$2,6244 min
5/31/2026, 3:21:57 AM35 trades$2,13510 min
6/21/2026, 7:18:46 AM13 trades$2,1311 min
6/17/2026, 2:20:44 PM29 trades$1,6967 min
6/26/2026, 5:50:04 AM14 trades$1,6311 min
6/26/2026, 7:00:16 AM18 trades$1,5325 min
6/8/2026, 8:55:00 AM6 trades$1,3571 min
5/29/2026, 12:45:53 PM9 trades$1,0025 min
5/22/2026, 7:50:54 AM20 trades$9683 min
6/7/2026, 9:33:19 AM7 trades$9462 min
6/7/2026, 9:55:51 AM11 trades$9433 min
6/21/2026, 10:35:52 AM12 trades$9081 min
6/9/2026, 6:14:07 AM2 trades$8100 min
6/24/2026, 8:13:13 AM2 trades$8000 min
6/1/2026, 4:08:06 AM8 trades$7283 min
6/23/2026, 2:14:44 AM6 trades$6540 min
6/9/2026, 6:19:48 AM6 trades$6141 min
5/29/2026, 12:36:47 PM4 trades$5401 min
6/30/2026, 5:51:55 AM9 trades$5183 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
06-01
06-02
06-07
06-08
06-09
06-20
06-21
06-23
06-26
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.1 / M7.1 / H85.8