@0xD2CbD0…4460

#2,868,5480

0xd2cbd09922bd25b4cec888c483e2b05cdc8443ee

~26d· 48 markets · 594 tradesVol: $136,5602026-08-04 18:10:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

6% (2/33)0/20
0.12x (win $363 / loss $3,032)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.4010/15
Sortino -8.5130/10
$-0.8089 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2617 (33 markets)0/10
2/20 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,669 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,010$-702Vol: $100,702
📈 ECONOMICS#658,407$-96Vol: $12,660
💰 FINANCE#9,179$325Vol: $9,971
⚽ SPORTS#1,500,276$-26Vol: $4,295

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-580
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,560
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
135B / 459S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$38
Vol: $0
Week
$53
Vol: $0
Month
$-45
Vol: $0
All Time
$-580
Vol: $136,560

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
6%
2W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-580
Win Rate
6%
2W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$181
Avg Loss
$-121

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $363 (0.6258214747736093% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$209
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$154

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-849
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-707
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-482
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$-213
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$-149
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$-112
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-110
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$-94
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-62
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-56

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.480
Sortino
-0.442
HHI
1242
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.807
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24%
Top-5 markets
70.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 221s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity14 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.1%
Mid (20-55c)8.9%
High (>55c)17%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 2:12:58 AM13 trades$25,5854 min
6/17/2026, 4:28:38 AM2 trades$25,0000 min
7/23/2026, 3:35:39 PM10 trades$7,9947 min
6/19/2026, 12:42:10 PM25 trades$5,57110 min
6/20/2026, 5:47:02 AM10 trades$3,3340 min
6/20/2026, 10:56:28 AM5 trades$2,0630 min
7/23/2026, 3:18:48 PM133 trades$1,93210 min
6/15/2026, 8:35:15 AM12 trades$1,6073 min
6/23/2026, 6:06:32 PM25 trades$1,4277 min
6/19/2026, 2:32:19 AM13 trades$1,4060 min
6/22/2026, 2:08:58 AM7 trades$1,1930 min
6/28/2026, 11:46:59 AM31 trades$1,0986 min
6/19/2026, 12:24:20 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/22/2026, 11:31:01 AM4 trades$8101 min
7/23/2026, 11:22:10 AM10 trades$7569 min
7/25/2026, 3:09:28 PM19 trades$6721 min
6/23/2026, 9:58:58 AM2 trades$6250 min
7/18/2026, 2:44:21 PM13 trades$5470 min
7/13/2026, 4:57:02 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/18/2026, 9:20:08 AM13 trades$4560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-20
06-23
06-26
07-06
07-20
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.94/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.1 / M8.9 / H17