@math3821

#2,482,4454

0xd339c679d9e3319e53f628026f79d93effebc54f

~12d· 84 markets · 268 tradesVol: $10,3532026-08-04 23:27:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (17/84)0/20
0.72x (win $582 / loss $811)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8770/15
Sortino -5.5710/10
$-0.2133 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1828 (84 markets)3.4/10
4/12 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 277% of peak ($359 / $130)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,646,840$-78Vol: $10,266
CRYPTO#937,124$-2Vol: $87

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-80
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,353
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
84
total markets
Trades
123B / 145S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
17W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-80
Win Rate
20%
17W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $320 (4.004505068201727% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$190
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?$73
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$57
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?$53
Brazil to win the second half?$45
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$32
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?$28
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5$21
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$19
Uruguay vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$15

Top Losers

Netherlands to win the second half?$-120
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$-100
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5$-80
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-60
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5$-40
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)$-38
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?$-20
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Qatar?$-20
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-20
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.304
HHI
456
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.207
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
38.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 357s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule17 trades/day — very active5.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)37.4%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 5:39:19 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
6/22/2026, 7:01:50 PM7 trades$1,1251 min
6/24/2026, 8:57:31 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/18/2026, 10:45:25 PM14 trades$4151 min
6/14/2026, 5:21:40 AM6 trades$2902 min
6/13/2026, 9:10:48 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/13/2026, 8:15:27 PM38 trades$16123 min
6/14/2026, 4:42:21 PM2 trades$1300 min
6/22/2026, 4:50:47 PM6 trades$1080 min
6/13/2026, 11:39:42 PM2 trades$1070 min
6/25/2026, 12:18:07 AM2 trades$1050 min
6/23/2026, 3:04:49 AM8 trades$1041 min
6/14/2026, 5:43:55 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/23/2026, 12:49:49 AM6 trades$1005 min
6/23/2026, 7:57:14 PM6 trades$940 min
6/23/2026, 5:02:01 AM2 trades$820 min
6/22/2026, 10:12:50 PM2 trades$800 min
6/14/2026, 5:58:19 AM8 trades$752 min
6/25/2026, 11:58:14 PM2 trades$690 min
6/24/2026, 12:17:20 AM8 trades$690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-15
06-19
06-23
06-25
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.7 / M17.9 / H37.4