@Caseyf6

#1,816,25941

0xd38c1691d365757a65acc13cd0f0129a1e78eba3

~62d· 79 markets · 172 tradesVol: $2,1572026-08-05 19:15:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (75/79)20/20
0.84x (win $33 / loss $39)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6760/15
Sortino -0.6970/10
$-0.0051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 182 (79 markets)10/10
46/51 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 344% of peak ($27 / $8)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Consistent
46/51 profitable days
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#236,535$-7Vol: $758
🎭 CULTURE#705,236$-13Vol: $553
🏛️ POLITICS#201,480$6Vol: $488
💰 FINANCE#110,053$2Vol: $130
📈 ECONOMICS#98,301$1Vol: $95
₿ CRYPTO#592,811$0Vol: $93
📢 MENTIONS#48,113$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,157
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
90B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-10
Vol: $2,157

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
75W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-10
Win Rate
95%
75W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.40187891440501045% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?$2
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 16?$1
Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?$1
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?$1
Will Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14?$1
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?$1

Top Losers

Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on February 27?$-10
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
259
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.5h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20348s — normal for humanCV 0.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97.8%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 4:25:25 PM2 trades$600 min
3/9/2026, 12:00:19 AM6 trades$580 min
3/30/2026, 12:01:04 AM2 trades$440 min
6/13/2026, 12:55:10 PM2 trades$400 min
2/28/2026, 12:00:49 PM4 trades$380 min
5/12/2026, 5:41:08 PM2 trades$380 min
5/5/2026, 7:08:48 PM2 trades$360 min
5/20/2026, 4:30:07 AM2 trades$360 min
6/15/2026, 10:47:51 AM2 trades$330 min
6/8/2026, 9:06:21 PM2 trades$320 min
4/24/2026, 10:30:20 AM2 trades$300 min
3/10/2026, 6:54:19 PM3 trades$300 min
4/23/2026, 1:43:56 AM2 trades$290 min
4/1/2026, 3:18:37 AM2 trades$250 min
3/16/2026, 8:30:13 AM1 trades$240 min
3/30/2026, 9:00:42 AM1 trades$240 min
6/25/2026, 1:24:04 PM2 trades$240 min
3/16/2026, 7:10:13 AM1 trades$230 min
5/7/2026, 5:01:32 PM2 trades$230 min
3/19/2026, 12:54:25 PM1 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-18
03-01
03-17
04-02
05-07
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
32% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M0 / H97.8