@0815g

#148,67427

0xd3b64f385cd5ca2dc498bd80114503ea409e14f4

~42d· 29 markets · 149 tradesVol: $42,1872026-08-04 18:55:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (10/19)11.3/20
0.95x (win $2,344 / loss $2,465)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3730/15
Sortino -0.5070/10
$-0.0091 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 759 (19 markets)8.7/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($1,796 / $1,675)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+287
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,549,247$-155Vol: $33,882
SPORTS#62,926$401Vol: $7,099
CRYPTO#137,211$42Vol: $1,205

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$287
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,187
Total Redeem
$600
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
85B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $0
Week
$50
Vol: $0
Month
$95
Vol: $0
All Time
$287
Vol: $42,187

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
10W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$287
Win Rate
53%
10W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$234
Avg Loss
$-274

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,498 (5.211868238895266% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$765
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$443
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$290
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$234
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$218
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?$170
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$120
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$44
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?$41
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$18

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-500
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-489
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-384
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-356
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-259
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-220
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?$-196
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-60
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.027
HHI
195
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
16.6%
Half-Kelly
8.3%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 800s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.2%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)58.8%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 1:34:08 PM17 trades$3,1821 min
6/2/2026, 8:48:02 AM26 trades$2,3902 min
7/30/2026, 6:22:35 PM2 trades$1,5560 min
6/22/2025, 4:40:28 AM1 trades$1,0530 min
6/1/2025, 9:39:23 PM1 trades$9650 min
2/22/2026, 12:01:56 PM3 trades$9273 min
2/24/2025, 12:39:02 PM2 trades$8751 min
7/6/2025, 11:53:33 AM2 trades$7110 min
2/15/2026, 4:46:59 PM2 trades$5995 min
4/15/2026, 12:30:36 PM7 trades$5362 min
6/26/2025, 1:54:01 AM1 trades$5280 min
1/17/2026, 4:17:42 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/14/2026, 4:28:51 PM2 trades$5004 min
1/23/2026, 6:45:02 AM3 trades$4504 min
2/21/2026, 1:05:40 AM1 trades$4150 min
1/20/2025, 3:52:19 PM1 trades$4010 min
5/7/2026, 12:27:17 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/21/2025, 10:48:56 AM1 trades$3100 min
9/21/2025, 12:22:22 AM1 trades$3080 min
1/17/2026, 4:33:20 PM1 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
02-24
06-22
09-21
01-17
02-19
04-13
05-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 331 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.2 / M12.9 / H58.8