@jimchrist-x
#499,169280xd4949ff6934f1449e9d2a2f951349bf46aa88216
~34d· 78 markets · 188 tradesVol: $1,9742026-08-04 23:36:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (40/72)12.8/20
0.90x (win $144 / loss $160)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9130/15
Sortino -1.2060/10
$-0.0222 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 714 (72 markets)8.9/10
13/26 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 298% of peak ($75 / $25)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+10
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,283,873$-10Vol: $539
🎭 CULTURE#49,947$19Vol: $420
₿ CRYPTO#319,715$4Vol: $401
📢 MENTIONS#146,390$-25Vol: $259
⚽ SPORTS#1,294,370$-8Vol: $159
📈 ECONOMICS#27,806$22Vol: $126
🌤️ WEATHER#101,503$0Vol: $20
💰 FINANCE#112,542$2Vol: $20
💻 TECH#36,200$2Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,974
Total Redeem
$50
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
112B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$10
Vol: $1,974
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
40W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$10
Win Rate
56%
40W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44 (4.532091097308489% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$5
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?$4
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?$4
Top Losers
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$-22
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$-10
James Comey arrested by April 30?$-8
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$-7
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?$-6
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
1306
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.3%
Top-5 markets
59.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)23.2%
High (>55c)66.1%
Sessions
#123/4/2026, 5:56:49 PM14 trades$10718 min
6/30/2026, 8:59:13 PM6 trades$800 min
2/15/2026, 3:50:39 PM5 trades$7412 min
5/16/2026, 7:06:18 PM6 trades$731 min
5/17/2026, 12:53:21 AM6 trades$632 min
3/10/2026, 11:37:11 PM7 trades$581 min
3/31/2026, 9:17:29 PM4 trades$400 min
5/1/2026, 4:25:28 PM4 trades$400 min
3/12/2026, 1:04:59 AM1 trades$390 min
4/13/2026, 10:09:03 AM6 trades$367 min
3/31/2026, 9:25:33 PM4 trades$300 min
3/4/2026, 6:20:19 PM2 trades$301 min
3/4/2026, 6:29:31 PM6 trades$2912 min
3/12/2026, 1:39:17 AM3 trades$287 min
6/10/2026, 11:41:46 PM7 trades$274 min
7/1/2026, 12:47:01 PM4 trades$251 min
3/12/2026, 1:56:37 AM3 trades$237 min
3/12/2026, 1:21:59 AM2 trades$222 min
6/17/2026, 5:01:19 PM4 trades$223 min
4/29/2026, 11:16:54 AM4 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
03-12
04-01
04-14
04-29
05-16
06-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M23.2 / H66.1