@reward0404

#3,046,32022

0xd49829353a5e33f4d29bf976ac9be8bde744a6c5

~38d· 529 markets · 7658 tradesVol: $591,6952026-08-04 17:19:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (236/525)7.5/20
0.96x (win $9,437 / loss $9,855)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0060/15
Sortino -1.3780/10
$-0.0082 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 48 (525 markets)10/10
15/36 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 1484% of peak ($937 / $63)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$51,013 invested
High Roller
$1,085/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#299,167$-5,659Vol: $591,695

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,659
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$591,695
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
529
total markets
Trades
4744B / 2914S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$-166
Vol: $10,479
Week
$-347
Vol: $43,502
Month
$-633
Vol: $52,901
All Time
$-5,659
Vol: $591,695

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
234W / 284L events
Realized PnL
$-5,661
Win Rate
45%
234W / 284L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,281 (0.22623417643255617% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?$511
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?$427
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$343
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?$307
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$287
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 25?$276
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?$234
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 31?$233
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?$190
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?$189

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 21?$-504
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?$-399
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?$-338
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 7?$-322
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?$-266
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 8?$-258
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$-212
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?$-195
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 8?$-164
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 19?$-157

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
162.9
Very active
Markets / Day
11.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.9m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
51.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock163 trades/day — automation11 markets/day — mass coverage62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.52
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)71.2%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 9:53:32 PM370 trades$2,01183 min
7/8/2026, 11:34:19 PM75 trades$1,15421 min
7/9/2026, 9:44:31 AM58 trades$1,08929 min
7/8/2026, 9:47:17 AM121 trades$1,01345 min
7/7/2026, 11:54:52 AM77 trades$98238 min
7/9/2026, 5:14:43 AM53 trades$93314 min
7/8/2026, 12:15:44 PM95 trades$92726 min
6/20/2026, 5:28:16 AM154 trades$86642 min
7/9/2026, 7:12:26 AM65 trades$80429 min
7/7/2026, 7:48:59 AM58 trades$70430 min
7/9/2026, 10:20:10 AM47 trades$70311 min
7/10/2026, 4:42:58 PM38 trades$6913 min
7/9/2026, 5:39:58 AM70 trades$68515 min
6/20/2026, 1:35:13 AM69 trades$68221 min
6/20/2026, 4:43:44 PM70 trades$65033 min
6/19/2026, 11:26:44 PM71 trades$64618 min
7/8/2026, 9:19:58 PM13 trades$6446 min
7/7/2026, 7:57:49 PM20 trades$6118 min
7/6/2026, 10:01:11 PM53 trades$60818 min
7/17/2026, 12:45:24 PM5 trades$5980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-30
07-09
07-18
07-24
07-30
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8 / M20.8 / H71.2