@coutinho2020

#103,78366

0xd4a36e7b2552db5dc95f81bcc918b4969ccb815e

~14d· 44 markets · 159 tradesVol: $23,6832026-08-05 17:40:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (40/44)20/20
1.69x (win $1,355 / loss $800)11.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.49015/15
Sortino 6.45910/10
$+0.0305 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 3165 (44 markets)0/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($536 / $779)0.3/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+634
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#34,314$326Vol: $16,417
SPORTS#77,547$264Vol: $6,068
📢 MENTIONS#9,652$45Vol: $890
💻 TECH#168,601$-0Vol: $308

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$634
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,683
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
54B / 105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$40
Vol: $746
All Time
$634
Vol: $23,683

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
40W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$634
Win Rate
91%
40W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.69x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-200

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,184 (1.8683513155404126% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$862
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$163
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$160
Will Christian Pulisic score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86
Will Trump say "Portugal" or "Portuguese" this week? (January 25)$45
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$19
Will Phil Bauhaus finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$3
Will Matej Mohorič finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$3
Will Josh Tarling finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$2
Will Quinten Hermans finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$1

Top Losers

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-555
Will Nico Denz finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$-148
Will Stefano Oldani finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$-97
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.171
Sortino
0.258
HHI
3934
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
51.6%
Half-Kelly
25.8%
Top-1 market
60.6%
Top-5 markets
89.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.61
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)98.1%

Sessions

#12
1/12/2026, 3:26:20 PM3 trades$8,0743 min
1/13/2026, 8:24:01 AM1 trades$4,4970 min
12/17/2025, 5:55:25 AM1 trades$1,5530 min
7/12/2026, 3:37:59 AM6 trades$1,2200 min
7/12/2026, 3:48:32 AM10 trades$1,1080 min
7/8/2026, 3:14:07 AM4 trades$1,0860 min
7/20/2026, 7:40:51 PM23 trades$48812 min
1/26/2026, 5:00:16 AM1 trades$4430 min
8/1/2026, 11:05:48 AM48 trades$43816 min
1/23/2026, 2:16:34 AM1 trades$3990 min
7/1/2026, 2:01:58 AM5 trades$3920 min
1/3/2026, 3:17:29 AM1 trades$3200 min
7/20/2026, 7:26:55 PM18 trades$3143 min
7/12/2026, 10:11:29 PM5 trades$2940 min
1/18/2026, 1:18:52 PM1 trades$2200 min
1/20/2026, 5:58:28 PM1 trades$1390 min
1/19/2026, 7:18:28 PM3 trades$1342 min
12/17/2025, 2:23:09 AM1 trades$990 min
12/17/2025, 2:34:07 AM1 trades$960 min
7/20/2026, 8:36:06 PM4 trades$604 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
01-18
01-20
01-26
07-01
07-12
07-20
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M1.9 / H98.1