@Serpentum
#2,839,276760xd4b37f839104031135a9e6778d4f2d480ac6e571
~9d· 55 markets · 217 tradesVol: $18,8352026-08-05 16:39:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (30/55)12.3/20
2.31x (win $607 / loss $263)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.19215/15
Sortino 37.08510/10
$+0.3459 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2501 (55 markets)0/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($67 / $345)10/10
Badges
2Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#295,098$-436Vol: $17,568
⚽ SPORTS#1,497,875$-25Vol: $1,266
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-461
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,835
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
76B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
29W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-461
Win Rate
53%
29W / 26L
Profit Factor
2.31x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-15
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $496 (1.075811100756377% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$402
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 4?$49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?$45
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 3?$16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?$12
Scotland vs. Brazil: Draw at halftime?$11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?$11
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?$7
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$6
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?$-31
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?$-20
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score$-20
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 28?$-18
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 3?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.306
Sortino
2.227
HHI
910
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.305
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.8%
Top-5 markets
51%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.7
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 211s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule20 trades/day — very active5.0 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.49
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)68.4%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 6:49:31 PM38 trades$4,8072 min
7/4/2026, 8:10:53 PM3 trades$2320 min
6/27/2026, 4:54:23 AM10 trades$2260 min
6/29/2026, 11:48:16 AM20 trades$1772 min
7/4/2026, 3:41:23 PM8 trades$1160 min
6/24/2026, 3:17:58 PM22 trades$11511 min
6/25/2026, 6:20:55 AM14 trades$1023 min
6/28/2026, 8:26:10 AM8 trades$611 min
6/25/2026, 2:03:13 PM8 trades$583 min
6/29/2026, 1:00:41 PM5 trades$524 min
6/27/2026, 5:22:38 AM7 trades$440 min
6/24/2026, 7:24:34 PM4 trades$383 min
7/3/2026, 7:53:07 PM5 trades$375 min
6/25/2026, 5:30:28 AM6 trades$322 min
6/27/2026, 5:28:14 AM4 trades$310 min
6/24/2026, 7:14:41 PM4 trades$301 min
6/28/2026, 8:34:53 AM4 trades$290 min
6/25/2026, 9:33:31 PM8 trades$255 min
7/3/2026, 9:18:16 PM2 trades$200 min
7/3/2026, 6:05:58 PM2 trades$190 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28
06-29
07-01
07-03
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.1 / M14.5 / H68.4