@TouchdownTerryDunk
#91,414570xd4e90390b039faf66a9f62747813825fee41d89f
~66d· 67 markets · 289 tradesVol: $43,5342026-08-04 23:41:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (21/58)3.1/20
1.53x (win $4,258 / loss $2,788)9.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.50615/15
Sortino 4.56110/10
$+0.0724 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 1183 (58 markets)6.6/10
18/39 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($813 / $1,896)5.4/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+803
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#18,923$923Vol: $35,866
⚽ SPORTS#288,788$9Vol: $2,755
📈 ECONOMICS#6,693$285Vol: $2,519
💰 FINANCE#648,310$-398Vol: $1,224
🎭 CULTURE#229,596$0Vol: $428
₿ CRYPTO#272,201$6Vol: $373
Overview
#1Net PnL
$803
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,534
Total Redeem
$289
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
67
total markets
Trades
116B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d
Periods
#2Today
$-172
Vol: $625
Week
$-157
Vol: $625
Month
$-289
Vol: $625
All Time
$803
Vol: $43,534
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
21W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$803
Win Rate
36%
21W / 37L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$203
Avg Loss
$-82
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,325 (2.8960259125451597% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$854
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$784
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$687
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$500
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$370
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$268
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$171
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$130
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$128
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$78
Top Losers
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-816
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-417
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-400
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$-379
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-157
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-152
US government shutdown Saturday?$-122
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-45
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-40
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$-40
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.130
Sortino
0.206
HHI
399
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
37.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 272s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.71
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.7%
Mid (20-55c)31.9%
High (>55c)47.4%
Sessions
#127/13/2026, 2:24:50 PM10 trades$3,0950 min
6/10/2026, 2:04:46 AM7 trades$3,0655 min
4/4/2026, 9:09:49 AM4 trades$2,4150 min
2/28/2026, 9:42:31 AM1 trades$1,6840 min
4/9/2026, 8:52:41 PM16 trades$1,4530 min
2/19/2026, 10:29:18 AM3 trades$1,3601 min
4/30/2026, 1:49:44 AM7 trades$1,3310 min
7/31/2026, 12:34:08 AM2 trades$1,2530 min
7/6/2026, 11:31:17 PM13 trades$9980 min
4/8/2026, 12:12:07 AM2 trades$9030 min
4/3/2026, 10:11:45 PM5 trades$8730 min
4/2/2026, 7:18:23 PM5 trades$7371 min
7/20/2026, 1:42:13 PM7 trades$7290 min
7/18/2026, 2:13:57 PM4 trades$7181 min
4/29/2026, 10:40:28 PM1 trades$7000 min
4/30/2026, 5:55:34 PM18 trades$6355 min
8/4/2026, 1:47:17 PM7 trades$6300 min
4/16/2026, 1:05:04 AM9 trades$6240 min
7/8/2026, 6:21:20 PM2 trades$6100 min
6/18/2026, 1:57:50 AM4 trades$6090 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-19
03-18
04-08
05-11
06-14
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.7 / M31.9 / H47.4