Macaquinhus

@Macaquinhus

#84,74577

0xd51dbb6d86a9cc478b460102da71861986a81578

~230d· 528 markets · 2217 tradesVol: $128,7292026-08-05 17:24:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (286/500)13.6/20
1.54x (win $3,776 / loss $2,455)9.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.15115/15
Sortino 7.44810/10
$+0.0536 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 95 (500 markets)10/10
99/183 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($185 / $1,321)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+935
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#36,799$288Vol: $46,626
SPORTS#156,323$57Vol: $34,409
💰 FINANCE#9,024$334Vol: $18,348
🎭 CULTURE#62,745$12Vol: $10,849
CRYPTO#78,904$134Vol: $8,987
📈 ECONOMICS#9,545$159Vol: $5,115
💻 TECH#237,991$-24Vol: $1,174
📢 MENTIONS#162,420$-87Vol: $947
🌤️ WEATHER#259,341$-19Vol: $115

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$935
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,729
Total Redeem
$543
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
528
total markets
Trades
1287B / 930S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~230d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $41
Week
$28
Vol: $464
Month
$49
Vol: $651
All Time
$935
Vol: $128,729

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
286W / 214L events
Realized PnL
$935
Win Rate
57%
286W / 214L
Profit Factor
1.54x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $631 (0.675208645409801% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$224
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?$222
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$185
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$148
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?$125
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?$115
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$97
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on April 28?$95
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$94

Top Losers

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 13?$-110
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-98
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-89
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?$-86
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$-67
Will Türkiye be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$-63
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?$-58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-54
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 7?$-54
Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.165
Sortino
0.346
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1516s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.2%
High (>55c)50.6%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 9:28:01 PM23 trades$5721 min
5/6/2026, 11:00:14 AM4 trades$5481 min
5/2/2026, 7:12:52 AM5 trades$5442 min
7/15/2026, 6:13:04 AM13 trades$5084 min
6/6/2026, 7:05:45 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/1/2026, 7:26:34 AM10 trades$4782 min
7/16/2026, 1:39:07 PM3 trades$4650 min
6/14/2026, 6:37:51 PM28 trades$4034 min
3/12/2026, 1:35:57 PM3 trades$3501 min
3/12/2026, 10:24:11 AM4 trades$3382 min
7/14/2026, 9:01:14 PM8 trades$3340 min
6/17/2026, 3:39:32 PM9 trades$3302 min
5/7/2026, 8:53:26 AM2 trades$3000 min
5/17/2026, 2:28:02 PM4 trades$2990 min
5/6/2026, 4:28:23 PM1 trades$2860 min
2/3/2026, 11:21:14 AM2 trades$2822 min
7/20/2026, 8:43:40 AM3 trades$2810 min
7/18/2026, 12:02:00 PM4 trades$2790 min
3/2/2026, 8:30:33 AM3 trades$2720 min
4/2/2026, 11:24:21 AM4 trades$2681 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-26
02-04
03-15
04-28
06-12
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.2 / M20.2 / H50.6