Greed.

@Greed.

#3,031,03936

0xd5d75539d4914aadfafd042c10141e5f45e44952

~145d· 499 markets · 11193 tradesVol: $1,311,9782026-08-05 03:18:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (246/404)15.4/20
1.01x (win $140,375 / loss $139,213)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0320.6/15
Sortino 0.0410.4/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 324 (404 markets)10/10
67/113 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 346% of peak ($48,961 / $14,151)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 61%
DCA Master
Avg 29.9 entries/market
Whale
$665,822 invested
High Roller
$4,439/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,475$-4,784Vol: $1,175,926
SPORTS#29,449$1,455Vol: $54,528
📈 ECONOMICS#671,609$-270Vol: $42,658
💰 FINANCE#626,907$-75Vol: $13,980
🎭 CULTURE#63,357$12Vol: $9,773
CRYPTO#77,605$138Vol: $8,018
📢 MENTIONS#5,070$134Vol: $4,775
🌤️ WEATHER#278,427$-59Vol: $2,029

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,546
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,311,978
Total Redeem
$3,720
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
499
total markets
Trades
4423B / 6770S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Today
$-95
Vol: $702
Week
$-126
Vol: $11,435
Month
$-201
Vol: $13,112
All Time
$-3,546
Vol: $1,311,978

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
245W / 158L events
Realized PnL
$-3,479
Win Rate
61%
245W / 158L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$571
Avg Loss
$-967

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $72,311 (20.78485833613585% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$30,657
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$29,250
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$12,404
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$10,064
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7,246
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$6,890
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$3,953
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3,719
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$3,304
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$2,555

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-49,963
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-21,241
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-19,537
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-4,696
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-3,773
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-3,517
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-3,000
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$-2,755
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-2,630
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$-2,436

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.002
Sortino
0.001
HHI
526
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
4.9%
Half-Kelly
2.5%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
40%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.2m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
47.6

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 3.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock75 trades/day — mass trading3.3 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)68.8%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:36:07 PM434 trades$40,81592 min
5/18/2026, 7:04:07 PM87 trades$33,28410 min
5/19/2026, 4:03:18 PM125 trades$32,64811 min
5/16/2026, 5:51:47 PM2 trades$22,9810 min
5/13/2026, 10:16:23 AM85 trades$21,16911 min
5/20/2026, 8:44:06 AM84 trades$17,3601 min
5/13/2026, 11:44:40 AM68 trades$15,8525 min
5/18/2026, 6:39:27 PM67 trades$15,3344 min
5/18/2026, 12:56:20 PM18 trades$15,0147 min
5/22/2026, 9:32:19 PM58 trades$14,60412 min
5/23/2026, 6:11:25 PM67 trades$13,98717 min
5/24/2026, 3:50:45 AM21 trades$13,7700 min
5/15/2026, 4:56:38 PM12 trades$13,5586 min
4/8/2026, 4:50:27 PM53 trades$13,22314 min
5/15/2026, 5:12:46 PM2 trades$12,9280 min
5/24/2026, 7:52:31 AM16 trades$12,6570 min
4/21/2026, 8:12:30 PM24 trades$12,47511 min
5/21/2026, 3:25:22 PM34 trades$12,3890 min
4/15/2026, 6:01:36 AM20 trades$12,1280 min
5/24/2026, 7:17:41 AM8 trades$12,0560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
04-02
04-23
05-22
06-13
07-04
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M21.6 / H68.8