@Renegade83

#62,43572

0xd658c1a9451e9ca78f8893e27771223e116d2525

~76d· 51 markets · 530 tradesVol: $47,7332026-08-04 22:02:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (18/34)11.5/20
2.00x (win $1,296 / loss $647)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.39215/15
Sortino 7.54310/10
$+0.0369 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 925 (34 markets)7.9/10
9/22 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($306 / $955)7.6/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1,564
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market

Categories

4
📈 ECONOMICS#2,288$1,588Vol: $39,705
SPORTS#1,575,485$-44Vol: $4,425
🏛️ POLITICS#95,407$44Vol: $3,542
🎭 CULTURE#735,844$-25Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,564
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,733
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
274B / 256S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,564
Vol: $47,733

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
18W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$1,564
Win Rate
53%
18W / 16L
Profit Factor
2x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $598 (0.3825177150750812% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$305
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$171
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$122
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$109
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$105
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$103
ECB rate hike in 2026?$103
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?$95
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$68
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$37

Top Losers

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-207
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$-161
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-99
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$-37
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$-29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$-22
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$-18
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada$-17
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?$-11
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.225
Sortino
0.336
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.102
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 388s — normal for humanCV 2.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.85
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.7%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 7:06:43 PM24 trades$5,8233 min
6/21/2026, 11:01:16 AM4 trades$1,6682 min
4/13/2026, 3:45:35 PM21 trades$1,4548 min
6/19/2026, 8:59:56 PM8 trades$1,2478 min
6/21/2026, 12:46:31 PM6 trades$1,1961 min
3/23/2026, 7:44:51 AM7 trades$1,0006 min
3/12/2026, 9:48:47 PM8 trades$62014 min
3/31/2026, 3:56:47 PM11 trades$6195 min
3/18/2026, 8:32:27 PM7 trades$55811 min
4/12/2026, 3:58:59 PM8 trades$5443 min
4/13/2026, 6:49:37 AM11 trades$5207 min
6/19/2026, 8:12:28 PM1 trades$4700 min
6/8/2026, 10:33:55 AM10 trades$4625 min
4/15/2026, 7:35:06 AM7 trades$4564 min
6/18/2026, 6:29:13 AM2 trades$4420 min
6/18/2026, 9:22:56 PM8 trades$4408 min
4/1/2026, 10:00:15 AM2 trades$4070 min
5/10/2026, 8:21:55 PM7 trades$4003 min
3/30/2026, 5:07:25 PM5 trades$3597 min
6/4/2026, 9:36:01 AM1 trades$3510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
02-11
03-03
03-12
03-27
04-15
06-04
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.7 / M38.3 / H50