@USA-LaoLuan

#2,967,41821

0xd69792135c13c187bf1d1dd65235e8121bb3def2

~77d· 176 markets · 640 tradesVol: $97,5282026-08-04 18:57:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (74/176)6/20
0.91x (win $12,275 / loss $13,487)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1060/15
Sortino -1.5490/10
$-0.0396 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 214 (176 markets)10/10
25/57 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 255% of peak ($2,491 / $975)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#59,693$450Vol: $35,940
🎭 CULTURE#799,786$-286Vol: $16,385
₿ CRYPTO#26,568$1,292Vol: $11,980
💰 FINANCE#647,862$-380Vol: $6,112
🏛️ POLITICS#28,849$447Vol: $4,918
📢 MENTIONS#175,480$-1,281Vol: $4,557
📈 ECONOMICS#673,175$-331Vol: $3,418
💻 TECH#3,998$196Vol: $1,369

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$97,528
Total Redeem
$772
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
176
total markets
Trades
355B / 285S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
74W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-1,476
Win Rate
42%
74W / 102L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$166
Avg Loss
$-152

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,587 (1.0757527497475585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $554
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5$550
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? $484
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$452
Is $DJT real?$449
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$421
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$369
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?$366
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$356
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$356

Top Losers

Will Anish Agnihotri last the longest-lasting of the listed Cryptothegame participants?$-756
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-730
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?$-690
Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?$-656
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$-472
Will Trump say "MAGA" during the debate?$-461
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-445
Spurs vs. Knicks$-400
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5$-362
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-354

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
322
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
25.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 406s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.6%
Mid (20-55c)37.2%
High (>55c)42.3%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 12:02:31 AM7 trades$3,7513 min
6/21/2026, 1:37:23 AM12 trades$2,3911 min
6/18/2026, 10:15:38 PM9 trades$1,4783 min
6/20/2024, 3:58:07 PM2 trades$1,1241 min
5/14/2026, 2:23:42 AM15 trades$1,0374 min
10/8/2024, 7:17:25 PM1 trades$9380 min
1/29/2024, 10:58:16 AM2 trades$8330 min
2/20/2024, 1:42:28 PM3 trades$7984 min
6/12/2026, 3:41:27 AM11 trades$7967 min
9/23/2025, 12:59:32 PM6 trades$7163 min
6/28/2024, 2:28:09 AM2 trades$7020 min
11/21/2023, 11:38:27 PM4 trades$6664 min
3/5/2025, 3:23:19 AM4 trades$6561 min
6/13/2026, 11:55:28 PM6 trades$6331 min
12/12/2023, 2:14:44 AM2 trades$6080 min
6/20/2026, 8:07:46 PM7 trades$5991 min
6/25/2026, 5:13:16 AM10 trades$5901 min
7/8/2025, 6:29:43 AM1 trades$5890 min
6/16/2026, 11:41:38 PM23 trades$58914 min
6/20/2026, 4:46:10 PM14 trades$5890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
11-27
02-20
10-07
11-16
06-15
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 891 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.6 / M37.2 / H42.3