@0xd69fa0…7581
#2,794,560610xd69fa028a19d93374d6049d778057b05453ce526
~17d· 40 markets · 205 tradesVol: $34,3642026-08-05 16:06:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (8/40)0/20
1.77x (win $355 / loss $201)12.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.76115/15
Sortino 10.72110/10
$+0.3127 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1597 (40 markets)4.5/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($92 / $245)6.5/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#293,823$-325Vol: $34,364
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-325
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,364
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
71B / 134S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
Periods
#2Week
$-8
Vol: $1,574
Month
$-39
Vol: $2,389
All Time
$-325
Vol: $34,364
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
20%
8W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-325
Win Rate
20%
8W / 32L
Profit Factor
1.77x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $298 (0.9172331067572972% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?$166
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?$98
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$34
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?$11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?$11
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 8?$1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 5?$1
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 3?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 19?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?$-12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 30?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.191
Sortino
0.573
HHI
1273
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.313
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.7%
Top-5 markets
59.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1556s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31%
Mid (20-55c)26.8%
High (>55c)42.3%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 9:42:23 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/26/2026, 1:47:46 AM4 trades$9850 min
7/30/2026, 5:56:05 PM3 trades$2890 min
6/22/2026, 12:23:32 PM5 trades$1620 min
6/19/2026, 1:18:02 AM9 trades$1452 min
6/23/2026, 1:54:07 PM12 trades$1122 min
7/3/2026, 6:24:13 PM3 trades$1010 min
6/21/2026, 12:45:56 PM7 trades$960 min
7/18/2026, 3:28:15 PM7 trades$800 min
6/22/2026, 10:06:20 AM5 trades$770 min
7/20/2026, 5:17:18 PM2 trades$560 min
8/3/2026, 3:36:11 PM3 trades$540 min
6/26/2026, 2:37:52 AM6 trades$540 min
7/30/2026, 8:09:27 AM6 trades$461 min
6/23/2026, 3:34:31 PM5 trades$462 min
7/18/2026, 8:59:45 PM11 trades$402 min
6/20/2026, 8:37:04 AM10 trades$393 min
7/18/2026, 8:37:57 PM3 trades$360 min
7/6/2026, 1:45:25 PM5 trades$290 min
6/26/2026, 10:04:41 AM4 trades$270 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-25
07-03
07-06
07-17
07-20
08-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31 / M26.8 / H42.3