@arotobo

#3,027,06014

0xd6a512d9dade3940357906ee5c6ade8f7bbb311f

~10d· 40 markets · 104 tradesVol: $15,9222026-08-04 22:59:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (20/40)10/20
0.07x (win $228 / loss $3,472)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.2730/15
Sortino -5.9630/10
$-0.7918 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2170 (40 markets)1.6/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,323 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,551$-3,287Vol: $11,167
🌤️ WEATHER#253,507$-14Vol: $4,409
💻 TECH#14,131$17Vol: $217
💰 FINANCE#33,876$29Vol: $129

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,254
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,922
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
46B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
20W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-3,254
Win Rate
50%
20W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-204

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $136 (0.04186127977580569% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$90
Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025$29
Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?$17
Will RFK Jr. get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?$10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 11?$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?$6
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?$6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?$6

Top Losers

Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?$-1,500
Trump wins every swing state?$-1,000
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-500
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$-303
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 11?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 7?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?$-10
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 11?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.311
Sortino
-0.243
HHI
2223
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.792
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.6%
Top-5 markets
87.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
4/24
Normal
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
71%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 61s — normal for humanCV 3.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)71% night trades — never sleeps4/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.6
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 12:10:41 AM3 trades$3,0001 min
7/7/2026, 9:56:40 AM10 trades$2,3900 min
11/6/2024, 12:19:09 AM2 trades$6031 min
6/10/2025, 10:53:00 AM1 trades$2000 min
7/7/2026, 9:15:38 AM5 trades$1230 min
7/10/2026, 12:07:31 AM19 trades$1146 min
7/13/2026, 12:08:05 AM17 trades$1148 min
6/19/2025, 12:48:48 AM1 trades$1000 min
7/8/2026, 12:05:04 AM13 trades$536 min
7/11/2026, 12:08:08 AM14 trades$4311 min
7/9/2026, 6:12:55 AM10 trades$332 min
7/7/2026, 9:34:34 AM4 trades$170 min
7/14/2026, 12:10:38 AM3 trades$120 min
7/11/2026, 12:01:29 AM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
06-10
06-19
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-13
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.6 / M13 / H67.4